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We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

We consider renewal stochastic processes generated by non-independent events from the perspective that their basic distribution and associated generating functions obey the statistical-mechanical structure of systems with interacting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Jorge Velázquez , Alberto Robledo

We provide a reason for Bayesian updating, in the Bernoulli case, even when it is assumed that observations are independent and identically distributed with a fixed but unknown parameter $\theta_0$. The motivation relies on the use of loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-08 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Stephen G. Walker

We study a single-server priority queue with a finite number of classes, in which the arrivals follow a fractional Poisson process of index $\alpha \in (0,1]$ and the service completions are triggered by an independent fractional Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicos Georgiou , Enrico Scalas , Vladislav Vysotsky

Let $(M_t: t > 0)$ be a Markov process of tessellations of ${\mathbb R}^\ell$ and $({\cal C}_t:\, t > 0)$ the process of their zero cells (zero polytopes) which has the same distribution as the corresponding process for Poisson hyperplane…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Servet Martínez , Werner Nagel

It is our intention to provide via fractional calculus a generalization of the pure and compound Poisson processes, which are known to play a fundamental role in renewal theory, without and with reward, respectively. We first recall the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francesco Mainardi , Rudolf Gorenflo , Enrico Scalas

In this paper we prove a L\'evy-Ottaviani type of property for the Bernoulli process defined on an interval. Namely, we show that under certain conditions on functions $(a_i)_{i=1}^{n}$ and for independent Bernoulli random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Witold Bednorz , Rafał Martynek

A simple explicit construction is provided of a partition-valued fragmentation process whose distribution on partitions of $[n]=\{1,...,n\}$ at time $\theta \ge 0$ is governed by the Ewens sampling formula with parameter $\theta$. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin , Jim Pitman

We consider a diffusion process with coefficients that are periodic outside of an 'interface region' of finite thickness. The question investigated in the articles [1,2] is the limiting long time / large scale behaviour of such a process…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-05 Martin Hairer , Charles Manson

We suggest to construct infinite stochastic binary sequences by associating one of the two symbols of the sequence with the renewal times of an underlying renewal process. Focusing on stationary binary sequences corresponding to delayed…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

When analyzing data from multiple sources, it is often convenient to strike a careful balance between two goals: capturing the heterogeneity of the samples and sharing information across them. We introduce a novel framework to model a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Laura D'Angelo , Bernardo Nipoti , Andrea Ongaro

A result of Chebyshev (1864) and Hoeffding1956}, on bounding an expectation of a given function with respect to a Bernoulli convolution (also called Poisson binomial law, or law of the number of successes in independent trials) with any…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Lutz Mattner

We derive conditions under which alternating renewal processes can be used to construct correlated Poisson processes. The pairwise correlation function is also derived, showing that the resulting correlations can be negative. The technique…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-11-25 Don H. Johnson

We consider the problems of hypothesis testing on a probability measure of independent sample, on solution of ill-posed problem, on deconvolution problem and on Poisson mean measure. For all these setups necessary conditions and sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Mikhail Ermakov

We prove the Bernoulli property for determinantal point processes on $ \mathbb{R}^d $ with translation-invariant kernels. For the determinantal point processes on $ \mathbb{Z}^d $ with translation-invariant kernels, the Bernoulli property…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Shota Osada

We present a positive solution to the so-called Bernoulli Conjecture concerning the characterization of sample boundedness of Bernoulli processes. We also discuss some applications and related open problems.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-19 Witold Bednorz , Rafał Latała

We consider the sequential sampling of species, where observed samples are classified into the species they belong to. We are particularly interested in studying some quantities describing the sampling process when there is a new species…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Servet Martínez , Javier Santibáñez

We give an elementary construction of a time-invertible Markov process which is discrete except at one instance. The process is one of the quadratic harnesses studied in our previous papers and can be regarded as a random joint of two…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wlodzimierz Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ling Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

Feller (1945) provided a coupling between the counts of cycles of various sizes in a uniform random permutation of $[n]$ and the spacings between successes in a sequence of $n$ independent Bernoulli trials with success probability $1/n$ at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Joseph Najnudel , Jim Pitman