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Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

This work provides a framework for nonlinear model-free control of systems with unknown input-output dynamics, but outputs that can be controlled by the inputs. This framework leads to real-time control of the system such that a feasible…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-13 Amit K. Sanyal

Inverse optimization (IO) is used to estimate unknown parameters of an optimization model from observed decisions. In the data-driven context, the estimated parameters are inherently uncertain, yet quantifying this uncertainty has received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Nathan Sandholtz , Nasrin Yousefi

Parameter estimation in linear errors-in-variables models typically requires that the measurement error distribution be known (or estimable from replicate data). A generalized method of moments approach can be used to estimate model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-04 Linh Nghiem , Michael Byrd , Cornelis Potgieter

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a solution satisfying certain non-negativity constraints to a linear system of equations. Importantly and in contrast to some prior work, we allow all parameters in the system…

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

We consider the phase retrieval problem of reconstructing a $n$-dimensional real or complex signal $\mathbf{X}^{\star}$ from $m$ (possibly noisy) observations $Y_\mu = | \sum_{i=1}^n \Phi_{\mu i} X^{\star}_i/\sqrt{n}|$, for a large class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Antoine Maillard , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

Accurately estimating parameters in complex nonlinear systems is crucial across scientific and engineering fields. We present a novel approach for parameter estimation using a neural network with the Huber loss function. This method taps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Kaushal Kumar

State estimation aims at approximately reconstructing the solution $u$ to a parametrized partial differential equation from $m$ linear measurements, when the parameter vector $y$ is unknown. Fast numerical recovery methods have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Olga Mula , James Nichols

In this paper, we propose and study several inverse problems of determining unknown parameters in nonlocal nonlinear coupled PDE systems, including the potentials, nonlinear interaction functions and time-fractional orders. In these coupled…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Ming-Hui Ding , Hongyu Liu , Catharine W. K. Lo

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

Given an unknown dynamic system such as a coupled harmonic oscillator with $n$ springs and point masses. We are often interested in gaining insights into its physical parameters, i.e. stiffnesses and masses, by observing trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Gregory Barber , Mulugeta A. Haile , Tzikang Chen

We study large but finite neural networks that, in the thermodynamic limit, admit an exact low-dimensional mean-field description. We assume that the governing mean-field equations describing macroscopic quantities such as the mean firing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-11 Irmantas Ratas , Kestutis Pyragas

We propose an efficient family of algorithms to learn the parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. In contrast to textbook approaches such as EM and the gradient method, our approach is non-iterative, yields closed form…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-26 Guy Van den Broeck , Karthika Mohan , Arthur Choi , Judea Pearl

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial modeling due to their ability to capture discontinuities and heavy tails, which are common in high-frequency asset return data. However, parameter estimation remains a challenge when associated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Nicolas Coloma , William Kleiber

This paper develops a framework for the error analysis in nonparametric model fitting of fractional stochastic differential equations based on discrete observations. We identify and quantify the main error sources -- time discretization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Mahdi Dehshiri , Kerlyns Martinez , Lauri Viitasaari

The problem of estimating a sparse signal from low dimensional noisy observations arises in many applications, including super resolution, signal deconvolution, and radar imaging. In this paper, we consider a sparse signal model with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Youye Xie , Michael B. Wakin , Gongguo Tang

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a Gaussian distribution when samples are only shown if they fall in some (unknown) subset $S \subseteq \R^d$. This core problem in truncated statistics has long history going back to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Vasilis Kontonis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis
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