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The problem of subgroups is ubiquitous in scientific research (ex. disease heterogeneity, spatial distributions in ecology...), and piecewise regression is one way to deal with this phenomenon. Morse-Smale regression offers a way to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-22 Colleen M. Farrelly

The main goal of this paper is to provide an algorithm for the random sampling of Butcher trees and the probabilistic numerical solution of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). This approach complements and simplifies a recent approach…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We analyze a class of spatial random spanning trees built on a realization of a homogeneous Poisson point process of the plane. This tree has a simple radial structure with the origin as its root. We first use stochastic geometry arguments…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francois Baccelli , Charles Bordenave

We study a random fragmentation process and its associated random tree. The process has earlier been studied by Dean and Majumdar (J. Phys. A: Math. Gen., vol. 35, L501--L507), who found a phase transition: the number of fragmentations is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. Janson , R. Neininger

The probability that two randomly selected phylogenetic trees of the same size are isomorphic is found to be asymptotic to a decreasing exponential modulated by a polynomial factor. The number of symmetrical nodes in a random phylogenetic…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-07 Miklos Bona , Philippe Flajolet

Given a general critical or sub-critical branching mechanism, we define a pruning procedure of the associated L\'evy continuum random tree. This pruning procedure is defined by adding some marks on the tree, using L\'evy snake techniques.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-27 Romain Abraham , Jean-Francois Delmas , Guillaume Voisin

We study various types of consistency of honest decision trees and random forests in the regression setting. In contrast to related literature, our proofs are elementary and follow the classical arguments used for smoothing methods. Under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We discuss a notion of convergence for binary trees that is based on subtree sizes. In analogy to recent developments in the theory of graphs, posets and permutations we investigate some general aspects of the topology, such as a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Rudolf Grübel

Phylogenetic trees are simple models of evolutionary processes. They describe conditionally independent divergent evolution of taxa from common ancestors. Phylogenetic trees commonly do not have enough flexibility to adequately model all…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-11 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Barbara R. Holland

We define and study a model of winding for non-colliding particles in finite trees. We prove that the asymptotic behavior of this statistic satisfies a central limiting theorem, analogous to similar results on winding of bounded particles…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-04-03 David A. Levin , Eric Ramos , Benjamin Young

This paper considers the probabilistic representation of the solutions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) by the generation of marked random trees in which marks can be interpreted as mutant types in population genetics models. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

We study stochastic processes that generate non-growing complex networks without self-loops and multiple edges (simple graphs). The work concentrates on understanding and formulation of constraints which keep the rewiring stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-07-10 Tomas Hruz , Michal Natora , Madhuresh Agrawal

We prove tail triviality of determinantal point processes $ \mu $ on continuous spaces. Tail triviality had been proved for such processes only on discrete spaces, and hence we have generalized the result to continuous spaces. To do this,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Hirofumi Osada , Shota Osada

Respondent-Driven Sampling is a popular technique for sampling hidden populations. This paper models Respondent-Driven Sampling as a Markov process indexed by a tree. Our main results show that the Volz-Heckathorn estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Xiao Li , Karl Rohe

Staged tree models are a discrete generalization of Bayesian networks. We show that these form curved exponential families and derive their natural parameters, sufficient statistic, and cumulant-generating function as functions of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Christiane Görgen , Manuele Leonelli , Orlando Marigliano

Tackling simulation optimization problems with non-convex objective functions remains a fundamental challenge in operations research. In this paper, we propose a class of random search algorithms, called Regular Tree Search, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Du-Yi Wang , Guo Liang , Guangwu Liu , Kun Zhang

Biological sequences do not come at random. Instead, they appear with particular frequencies that reflect properties of the associated system or phenomenon. Knowing how biological sequences are distributed in sequence space is thus a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-04-18 Wei-Chia Chen , Juannan Zhou , David M. McCandlish

We study the distribution of the number of leaves of the subtree chosen uniformly at random among all the subtrees of the critical branching process tree at extinction.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Boris Pittel

A Multinomial Processing Tree (MPT) is a directed tree with a probability associated with each arc. Here we consider an additional parameter associated with each arc, a measure such as the time required to select the arc. MPTs are often…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-06 Richard Schweickert , Xiaofang Zheng