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Quantile regression is a statistical method which, unlike classical regression, aims to predict the conditional quantiles. Classical quantile regression methods face difficulties, particularly when the quantile under consideration is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Lucien M. Vidagbandji , Alexandre Berred , Cyrille Bertelle , Laurent Amanton

Extremal quantile regression, i.e. quantile regression applied to the tails of the conditional distribution, counts with an increasing number of economic and financial applications such as value-at-risk, production frontiers, determinants…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-24 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Tetsuya Kaji

We study the optimal portfolio allocation problem from a Bayesian perspective using value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) as risk measures. By applying the posterior predictive distribution for the future portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-04 Taras Bodnar , Mathias Lindholm , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

Quantifying uncertainty in predictions or, more generally, estimating the posterior conditional distribution, is a core challenge in machine learning and statistics. We introduce Convex Nonparanormal Regression (CNR), a conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Yonatan Woodbridge , Gal Elidan , Ami Wiesel

Symbolic Regression (SR) is a well-established framework for generating interpretable or white-box predictive models. Although SR has been successfully applied to create interpretable estimates of the average of the outcome, it is currently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Cas Oude Hoekstra , Floris den Hengst

Inverse problems aim to determine model parameters of a mathematical problem from given observational data. Neural networks can provide an efficient tool to solve these problems. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, Uncertainty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Andrea Tonini , Tan Bui-Thanh , Francesco Regazzoni , Luca Dede' , Alfio Quarteroni

We study the problem of estimating the optimal Q-function of $\gamma$-discounted Markov decision processes (MDPs) under the synchronous setting, where independent samples for all state-action pairs are drawn from a generative model at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Mohammad Boveiri , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We propose a method to distinguish causal influence from hidden confounding in the following scenario: given a target variable Y, potential causal drivers X, and a large number of background features, we propose a novel criterion for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-07 You-Lin Chen , Lenon Minorics , Dominik Janzing

We study an alternative to the prevailing approach to modelling qualitative spatial reasoning (QSR) problems as constraint satisfaction problems. In the standard approach, a relation between objects is a constraint whereas in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Sebastian Brand

The Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) is a promising candidate for quantum applications on near-term Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) computers. Despite a lot of empirical studies and recent progress in theoretical understanding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-26 Xuchen You , Shouvanik Chakrabarti , Xiaodi Wu

Quantile crossing is a common phenomenon in shape constrained nonparametric quantile regression. A recent study by Wang et al. (2014) has proposed to address this problem by imposing non-crossing constraints to convex quantile regression.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-09 Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen , Xun Zhou

Many applications of quantum computing in the near term rely on variational quantum circuits (VQCs). They have been showcased as a promising model for reaching a quantum advantage in machine learning with current noisy intermediate scale…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Jonas Landman , Slimane Thabet , Constantin Dalyac , Hela Mhiri , Elham Kashefi

Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) have emerged as powerful probabilistic models for generative tasks. However, their convergence properties have not been rigorously proven. The challenge of proving convergence is inherently difficult due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Li Wang , Wei Huang

The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. A standard approach reduces the problem to a finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus

Quantile regression (QR) is becoming increasingly popular due to its relevance in many scientific investigations. However, application of QR can become very challenging when dealing with high-dimensional data, making it necessary to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Eliana Christou

Here we dispel the lingering myth that Partial Directed Coherence is a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Modelling dependent concept. In fact, our examples show that it is spectral factorization that lies at its heart, for which VAR modelling is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Luiz Antonio Baccalá , Koichi Sameshima

Embedding vectors are widely used for representing unstructured data and searching through it for semantically similar items. However, the large size of these vectors, due to their high-dimensionality, creates problems for modern vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Mariano Tepper , Ted Willke

In this paper we propose the adaptive lasso for predictive quantile regression (ALQR). Reflecting empirical findings, we allow predictors to have various degrees of persistence and exhibit different signal strengths. The number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-05 Rui Fan , Ji Hyung Lee , Youngki Shin

The theory of stochastic vector quantisers (SVQ) has been extended to allow the quantiser to develop invariances, so that only "large" degrees of freedom in the input vector are represented in the code. This has been applied to the problem…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Stephen Luttrell

Hybrid quantum/classical variational algorithms can be implemented on noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers and can be used to find solutions for combinatorial optimization problems. Approaches discussed in the literature minimize the…