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This paper introduces a feasible and practical Bayesian method for unit root testing in financial time series. We propose a convenient approximation of the Bayes factor in terms of the Bayesian Information Criterion as a straightforward and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-23 Magris Martin , Iosifidis Alexandros

Weak-identification-robust tests for instrumental variable (IV) regressions are typically developed separately depending on whether the number of IVs is treated as fixed or increasing with the sample size, forcing researchers to make a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-01 Dennis Lim , Wenjie Wang , Yichong Zhang

The bootstrap variance estimate is widely used in semiparametric inferences. However, its theoretical validity is a well known open problem. In this paper, we provide a {\em first} theoretical study on the bootstrap moment estimates in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Guang Cheng

We are concerned with nonparametric hypothesis testing of time series functionals. It is known that the popular autoregressive sieve bootstrap is, in general, not valid for statistics whose (asymptotic) distribution depends on moments of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-21 Natalia Sirotko-Sibirskaya , Matthias O. Franz , Thorsten Dickhaus

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

Roy's largest root is a common test statistic in multivariate analysis, statistical signal processing and allied fields. Despite its ubiquity, provision of accurate and tractable approximations to its distribution under the alternative has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-06 Iain M. Johnstone , Boaz Nadler

We suggest a new approach to hypothesis testing for ergodic and stationary processes. In contrast to standard methods, the suggested approach gives a possibility to make tests, based on any lossless data compression method even if the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Boris Ryabko , Jaakko Astola

Consider $M$-estimation in a semiparametric model that is characterized by a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. As a general purpose approach to statistical inferences, the bootstrap has found…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-04 Guang Cheng , Jianhua Z. Huang

To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu

Statistical mechanics is used to study unrealizable generalization in two large feed-forward neural networks with binary weights and output, a perceptron and a tree committee machine. The student is trained by a teacher being larger, i.e.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Matts Sporre

Boson sampling, a computational problem conjectured to be hard to simulate on a classical machine, is a promising candidate for an experimental demonstration of quantum advantage using bosons. However, inevitable experimental noise and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-10-12 Gabriele Bressanini , Hyukjoon Kwon , M. S. Kim

Nonparametric two sample testing deals with the question of consistently deciding if two distributions are different, given samples from both, without making any parametric assumptions about the form of the distributions. The current…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Aaditya Ramdas , Sashank J. Reddi , Barnabas Poczos , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

This paper considers the inference of trends in multiple, nonstationary time series. To test whether trends are parallel to each other, we use a parallelism index based on the L2-distances between nonparametric trend estimators and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 David Degras , Zhiwei Xu , Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

We propose a novel bootstrap test of a dense model, namely factor regression, against a sparse plus dense alternative augmenting model with sparse idiosyncratic components. The asymptotic properties of the test are established under time…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-11 Jad Beyhum , Jonas Striaukas

Standard approaches to constructing nonparametric confidence bands for functions are frustrated by the impact of bias, which generally is not estimated consistently when using the bootstrap and conventionally smoothed function estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Peter Hall , Joel Horowitz

We present a fast and accurate formulation for computing the nonlinear matter power spectrum at one-loop order based on Unified Lagrangian Perturbation Theory (ULPT). ULPT decomposes the density field into the Jacobian deviation, capturing…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-23 Naonori Sugiyama

This review discusses methods of testing for a panel unit root. Modern approaches to testing in cross-sectionally correlated panels are discussed, preceding the analysis with an analysis of independent panels. In addition, methods for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-20 Anton Skrobotov

Both seasonal unit roots and periodic variation can be prevalent in seasonal data. When testing seasonal unit roots under periodic variation, the validity of the existing methods, such as the HEGY test, remains unknown. This paper analyzes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Nan Zou , Dimitris N. Politis

Recent machine learning papers often report 1-2 percentage point improvements from a single run on a benchmark. These gains are highly sensitive to random seeds, data ordering, and implementation details, yet are rarely accompanied by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Wenzhang Du