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Related papers: Prediction error after model search

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Three-dimensional panel models are widely used in empirical analysis. Researchers use various combinations of fixed effects for three-dimensional panels. When one imposes a parsimonious model and the true model is rich, then it incurs…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-02 Harold D. Chiang , Joel Rodrigue , Yuya Sasaki

When evaluating and comparing models using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), the uncertainty of the estimate is typically assessed using the variance of the sampling distribution. Considering the uncertainty is important, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca

We study tools for inference conditioned on model selection events that are defined by the generalized lasso regularization path. The generalized lasso estimate is given by the solution of a penalized least squares regression problem, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-14 Sangwon Hyun , Max G'Sell , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We present a linear regression method for predictions on a small data set making use of a second possibly biased data set that may be much larger. Our method fits linear regressions to the two data sets while penalizing the difference…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Aiyou Chen , Art B. Owen , Minghui Shi

The objective of this work is to propose an asymptotic correction method for the estimators of parameters from regression models with covariates subject to classification errors. A correction was developed based on the least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Alexandre Garcia Dias , Mariana Rodrigues Motta , Alexandre Hild Aono

The Tweedie exponential dispersion family is a popular choice among many to model insurance losses that consist of zero-inflated semicontinuous data. In such data, it is often important to obtain credibility (inference) of the most…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Alokesh Manna , Zijian Huang , Dipak K. Dey , Yuwen Gu , Robin He

Many modern datasets, such as those in ecology and geology, are composed of samples with spatial structure and dependence. With such data violating the usual independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption in machine learning and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-18 Kevin Fry , Jonathan E. Taylor

Shrinkage estimators that possess the ability to produce sparse solutions have become increasingly important to the analysis of today's complex datasets. Examples include the LASSO, the Elastic-Net and their adaptive counterparts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-09 Hongmei Liu , J. Sunil Rao

In this paper we are interested in parameters estimation of linear model when number of parameters increases with sample size. Without any assumption about moments of the model error, we propose and study the seamless $L_0$ quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Gabriela Ciuperca

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar

The adaptive LASSO has been used for consistent variable selection in place of LASSO in the linear regression model. In this article, we propose a modified LARS algorithm to combine adaptive LASSO with some biased estimators, namely the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Manickavasagar Kayanan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

We study a linear high-dimensional regression model in a semi-supervised setting, where for many observations only the vector of covariates $X$ is given with no response $Y$. We do not make any sparsity assumptions on the vector of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg

We consider random sample splitting for estimation and inference in high dimensional generalized linear models, where we first apply the lasso to select a submodel using one subsample and then apply the debiased lasso to fit the selected…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Omar Vazquez , Bin Nan

There has been much recent work on inference after model selection when the noise level is known, however, $\sigma$ is rarely known in practice and its estimation is difficult in high-dimensional settings. In this work we propose using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Xiaoying Tian , Joshua R. Loftus , Jonathan E. Taylor

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

In modern data analysis, sparse model selection becomes inevitable once the number of predictors variables is very high. It is well-known that model selection procedures like the Lasso or Boosting tend to overfit on real data. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Tino Werner