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We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

In this paper, we investigate an interesting and important stopping problem mixed with stochastic controls and a \textit{nonsmooth} utility over a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-06 Chonghu Guan , Xun Li , Zuoquan Xu , Fahuai Yi

In this article we consider risk-sensitive control of semi-Markov processes with a discrete state space. We consider general utility functions and discounted cost in the optimization criteria. We consider random finite horizon and infinite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Arnab Bhabak , Subhamay Saha

We discuss importance sampling of exit problems that involve unbounded stopping times; examples are mean first passage times, transition rates or committor probabilities in molecular dynamics. The naive application of variance minimization…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Carsten Hartmann , Annika Jöster

We use one-step conditional risk mappings to formulate a risk averse version of a total cost problem on a controlled Markov process in discrete time infinite horizon. The nonnegative one step costs are assumed to be lower semi-continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Kerem Ugurlu

We develop an approach for solving one-sided optimal stopping problems in discrete time for general underlying Markov processes on the real line. The main idea is to transform the problem into an auxiliary problem for the ladder height…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We study the optimal timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Tim Leung , Michael Ludkovski

This work concerns controlled Markov chains with finite state and action spaces. The transition law satisfies the simultaneous Doeblin condition, and the performance of a control policy is measured by the (long-run) risk-sensitive average…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rolando Cavazos-Cadena , Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot

A classic reachability problem for safety of dynamic systems is to compute the set of initial states from which the state trajectory is guaranteed to stay inside a given constraint set over a given time horizon. In this paper, we leverage…

We consider the optimal stopping problem consisting in, given a strong Markov process, a reward function and a discount rate, finding the stopping time such that the expected reward at the stopping time is maximum. The approach we follow,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Fabián Crocce

In this paper, we study an optimal stopping problem in the presence of model uncertainty and regime switching. The max-min formulation for robust control and the dynamic programming approach are adopted to establish a general theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Siyu Lv , Zhen Wu , Jie Xiong , Xin Zhang

We use martingale and stochastic analysis techniques to study a continuous-time optimal stopping problem, in which the decision maker uses a dynamic convex risk measure to evaluate future rewards. We also find a saddle point for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Ioannis Karatzas , Song Yao

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

We use the geometry of suitably generalised potentials to solve risk-sensitive Markovian optimal stopping problems. As in the linear case due to Dynkin and Yushkievich (1967), the value function is the pointwise infimum of those functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Tomasz Kosmala , John Moriarty

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

In this work we study the continuous time exponential utility maximization problem in the framework of an investor who is informed about the price changes with a delay. This leads to a non-Markovian stochastic control problem. In the case…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-06 Yan Dolinsky

We consider the problem of optimal multiple switching in finite horizon, when the state of the system, including the switching costs, is a general adapted stochastic process. The problem is formulated as an extended impulse control problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-19 Boualem Djehiche , Said Hamadene , Alexandre Popier

The scope of this paper is to study the optimal stopping problems associated to a stochastic process, which may represent the gain of an investment, for which information on the final value is available a priori. This information may…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Bernardo D'Auria , Alessandro Ferriero