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Randomized experiments are widely used to estimate the causal effects of a proposed treatment in many areas of science, from medicine and healthcare to the physical and biological sciences, from the social sciences to engineering, to public…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Christina Lee Yu , Edoardo M Airoldi , Christian Borgs , Jennifer T Chayes

This paper studies causal inference with observational data from a single large network. We consider a nonparametric model with interference in both potential outcomes and selection into treatment. Specifically, both stages may be the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Michael P. Leung , Pantelis Loupos

We develop a new class of random graph models for the statistical estimation of network formation -- subgraph generated models (SUGMs). Various subgraphs -- e.g., links, triangles, cliques, stars -- are generated and their union results in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-27 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Matthew O. Jackson

Exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) can be understood in terms of a set of structural biases that act on an underlying reference distribution. This distribution determines many aspects of the behavior and interpretation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Carter T. Butts

We introduce the Graph Mixture Density Networks, a new family of machine learning models that can fit multimodal output distributions conditioned on graphs of arbitrary topology. By combining ideas from mixture models and graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Federico Errica , Davide Bacciu , Alessio Micheli

Generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) are widely used to analyze grouped and hierarchical data. In a GLMM, each response is assumed to follow an exponential-family distribution where the natural parameter is given by a linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Yuli Slavutsky , Sebastian Salazar , David M. Blei

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

Understanding how social networks form, whether through reciprocity, shared attributes, or triadic closure, is central to computational social science. Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) offer a principled framework for testing such…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yidan Sun , Mayank Kejriwal

Finite mixture models are useful in applied econometrics. They can be used to model unobserved heterogeneity, which plays major roles in labor economics, industrial organization and other fields. Mixtures are also convenient in dealing with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-08 Yuichi Kitamura , Louise Laage

Dynamic networks are commonly used in applications where relational data is observed over time. Statistical models for such data should capture not only the temporal dependencies between networks observed in time, but also the structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Jihui Lee , Gen Li , James D. Wilson

Exponential-family random network (ERN) models specify a joint representation of both the dyads of a network and nodal characteristics. This class of models allow the nodal characteristics to be modelled as stochastic processes, expanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-07 Ian E. Fellows , Mark S. Handcock

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

One of the most important empirical findings in microeconometrics is the pervasiveness of heterogeneity in economic behaviour (cf. Heckman 2001). This paper shows that cumulative distribution functions and quantiles of the nonparametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-19 Juan Carlos Escanciano

Finite Mixture Regression (FMR) refers to the mixture modeling scheme which learns multiple regression models from the training data set. Each of them is in charge of a subset. FMR is an effective scheme for handling sample heterogeneity,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Jian Liang , Kun Chen , Ming Lin , Changshui Zhang , Fei Wang

In this paper we propose to extend the separable temporal exponential random graph model (STERGM) to account for time-varying network- and actor-specific effects. Our application case is the network of international major conventional…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-05 Michael Lebacher , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

Random graph (RG) models play a central role in the complex networks analysis. They help to understand, control, and predict phenomena occurring, for instance, in social networks, biological networks, the Internet, etc. Despite a large…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Mikhail Drobyshevskiy , Denis Turdakov

An important challenge in the field of exponential random graphs (ERGs) is the fitting of non-trivial ERGs on large graphs. By utilizing fast matrix block-approximation techniques, we propose an approximative framework to such non-trivial…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Florian Adriaens , Alexandru Mara , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent variable model, and these unobserved variables are included in a structural peer effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jae Ho Chang , Subhadeep Paul

Designing reliable networks consists in finding topological structures, which are able to successfully carry out desired processes and operations. When this set of activities performed within a network are unknown and the only available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Stefano Nasini

We address the challenge of inferring causal effects in social network data. This results in challenges due to interference -- where a unit's outcome is affected by neighbors' treatments -- and network-induced confounding factors. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Seyedeh Baharan Khatami , Harsh Parikh , Haowei Chen , Sudeepa Roy , Babak Salimi
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