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Optimal designs are usually model-dependent and likely to be sub-optimal if the postulated model is not correctly specified. In practice, it is common that a researcher has a list of candidate models at hand and a design has to be found…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Mingyao Ai , Holger Dette , Zhengfu Liu , Jun Yu

In longitudinal studies, we observe measurements of the same variables at different time points to track the changes in their pattern over time. In such studies, scheduling of the data collection waves (i.e. time of participants' visits) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Li Xing , Xuekui Zhang , Ardo van den Hout , Scott Hofer , Graciela Muniz Terrera

The current work is motivated by the need for robust statistical methods for precision medicine; as such, we address the need for statistical methods that provide actionable inference for a single unit at any point in time. We aim to learn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Ivana Malenica , Aurelien Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks experiments that maximize the expected information gain (EIG) in model parameters. Directly estimating the EIG using nested Monte Carlo is computationally expensive and requires an explicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jiayuan Dong , Christian Jacobsen , Mehdi Khalloufi , Maryam Akram , Wanjiao Liu , Karthik Duraisamy , Xun Huan

Systems with both quantitative and qualitative responses are widely encountered in many applications. Design of experiment methods are needed when experiments are conducted to study such systems. Classic experimental design methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng , Ran Jin

In this paper we investigate the problem of designing experiments for series estimators in nonparametric regression models with correlated observations. We use projection based estimators to derive an explicit solution of the best linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Holger Dette , Maria Konstantinou , Kirsten Schorning

Efficient coding theory posits that sensory circuits transform natural signals into neural representations that maximize information transmission subject to resource constraints. Local interneurons are thought to play an important role in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 David Lipshutz , Eero P. Simoncelli

We consider experiments for comparing treatments using units that are ordered linearly over time or space within blocks. In addition to the block effect, we assume that a trend effect influences the response. The latter is modeled as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Dibyen Majumdar , John Stufken

Optimal experimental design (OED) provides a systematic approach to quantify and maximize the value of experimental data. Under a Bayesian approach, conventional OED maximizes the expected information gain (EIG) on model parameters.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-08 Shijie Zhong , Wanggang Shen , Tommie Catanach , Xun Huan

Embedding nonlinear dynamical systems into artificial neural networks is a powerful new formalism for machine learning. By parameterizing ordinary differential equations (ODEs) as neural network layers, these Neural ODEs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Mikko Lehtimäki , Lassi Paunonen , Marja-Leena Linne

Bayesian optimality criteria provide a robust design strategy to parameter misspecification. We develop an approximate design theory for Bayesian $D$-optimality for non-linear regression models with covariates subject to measurement errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Maria Konstantinou , Holger Dette

Comparing representations of complex stimuli in neural network layers to human brain representations or behavioral judgments can guide model development. However, even qualitatively distinct neural network models often predict similar…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-29 Tal Golan , Wenxuan Guo , Heiko H. Schütt , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

We propose a computational approach to constructing exact designs on finite design spaces that are optimal for multiresponse regression experiments under a combination of the standard linear and specific 'sparsity' constraints. The linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Lenka Filová , Pál Somogyi , Radoslav Harman

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Jakob Heiss , Florian Krach , Thorsten Schmidt , Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack

Sensory systems across all modalities and species exhibit adaptation to continuously changing input statistics. Individual neurons have been shown to modulate their response gains so as to maximize information transmission in different…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-01 Lyndon R. Duong , Colin Bredenberg , David J. Heeger , Eero P. Simoncelli

We consider the problem of designing experiments for the comparison of two regression curves describing the relation between a predictor and a response in two groups, where the data between and within the group may be dependent. In order to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette

This paper traces the strong relations between experimental design and control, such as the use of optimal inputs to obtain precise parameter estimation in dynamical systems and the introduction of suitably designed perturbations in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-03 Luc Pronzato

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

There has been tremendous interest in designing stimuli (e.g. electrical currents) that produce desired neural responses, e.g., for inducing therapeutic effects for treatments. Traditionally, the design of such stimuli has been…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-01 Chaitanya Goswami , Pulkit Grover

Inferring the mechanisms underlying physiological and pathological processes in the brain from recorded electrical activity is challenging. Bayesian model selection and dynamic causal modelling aim to identify likely biophysical models to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-29 Matthew G. Thomas