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We address the problem of prediction for extreme observations by proposing an extremal linear prediction method. We construct an inner product space of nonnegative random variables derived from transformed-linear combinations of independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jeongjin Lee , Daniel Cooley

Traditionally stationarity refers to shift invariance of the distribution of a stochastic process. In this paper, we rediscover stationarity as a path property instead of a distributional property. More precisely, we characterize a set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Yi Shen , Tony S. Wirjanto

We consider learning a predictive model to be subsequently used for a given downstream task (described by an algorithm) that requires access to the model evaluation. This task need not be prediction, and this situation is frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jianyuan Yin , Qianxiao Li

We consider the task of performing probabilistic inference with probabilistic logical models. Many algorithms for approximate inference with such models are based on sampling. From a logic programming perspective, sampling boils down to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Daan Fierens

The rise of parallel computing hardware has made it increasingly important to understand which nonlinear state space models can be efficiently parallelized. Recent advances like DEER (arXiv:2309.12252) and DeepPCR (arXiv:2309.16318) recast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Xavier Gonzalez , Leo Kozachkov , David M. Zoltowski , Kenneth L. Clarkson , Scott W. Linderman

In this paper it is shown that the compact linearization approach, that has been previously proposed only for binary quadratic problems with assignment constraints, can be generalized to arbitrary linear equations with positive coefficients…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Sven Mallach

When observations are curves over some natural time interval, the field of functional data analysis comes into play. Functional linear processes account for temporal dependence in the data. The prediction problem for functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Johannes Klepsch , Claudia Klüppelberg

Linear regression is a basic and widely-used methodology in data analysis. It is known that some quantum algorithms efficiently perform least squares linear regression of an exponentially large data set. However, if we obtain values of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-08-27 Kazuya Kaneko , Koichi Miyamoto , Naoyuki Takeda , Kazuyoshi Yoshino

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

The wide application of estimation techniques in system analysis enable us to best determine and understand the history of system states. This paper attempts to delineate the theory behind linear and non-linear estimation with a suitable…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-21 Raja Manish

The problem of solving linear systems is one of the most fundamental problems in computer science, where given a satisfiable linear system $(A,b)$, for $A \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$ and $b \in \mathbb{R}^n$, we wish to find a vector $x…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Mitali Bafna , Nikhil Vyas

In this research a continuous model for resource allocations in a queuing system is considered and a local prediction on the system behavior is developed. As a result we obtain a set of possible cases, some of which lead to quite clear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Tikhon Bogachev

The estimation of parameters from data is a common problem in many areas of the physical sciences, and frequently used algorithms rely on sets of simulated data which are fit to data. In this article, an analytic solution for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-27 Daniel Britzger

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

A conventional linear model for functional data involves expressing a response variable $Y$ in terms of the explanatory function $X(t)$, via the model: $Y=a+\int_I b(t)X(t)dt+\hbox{error}$, where $a$ is a scalar, $b$ is an unknown function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 Peter Hall , Giles Hooker

Linear regression is a fundamental modeling tool in statistics and related fields. In this paper, we study an important variant of linear regression in which the predictor-response pairs are partially mismatched. We use an optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Rahul Mazumder , Haoyue Wang

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

Sparse principal component analysis addresses the problem of finding a linear combination of the variables in a given data set with a sparse coefficients vector that maximizes the variability of the data. This model enhances the ability to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Amir Beck , Yakov Vaisbourd

The true process that generated data cannot be determined when multiple explanations are possible. Prediction requires a model of the probability that a process, chosen randomly from the set of candidate explanations, generates some future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-18 Oscar Stiffelman

Bayesian optimisation is a powerful tool to solve expensive black-box problems, but fails when the stationary assumption made on the objective function is strongly violated, which is the case in particular for ill-conditioned or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 Victor Picheny , Sattar Vakili , Artem Artemev
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