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In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach for uncertainty propagation and reachability analysis in a dynamical system. The proposed approach relies on the linear lifting of a nonlinear system using linear Perron-Frobenius (P-F) and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Amarsagar Reddy Ramapuram Matavalam , Umesh Vaidya , Venkataramana Ajjarapu

Diffusion and flow-driven instability, or transport-driven instability, is one of the central mechanisms to generate inhomogeneous gradient of concentrations in spatially distributed chemical systems. However, verifying the transport-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-05 Yutaka Hori , Hiroki Miyazako

This paper studies the set of terminal state covariances that are reachable over a finite time horizon from a given initial state covariance for a linear stochastic system with additive noise. For discrete-time systems, a complete…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-22 Fengjiao Liu , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

State density distribution, in contrast to worst-case reachability, can be leveraged for safety-related problems to better quantify the likelihood of the risk for potentially hazardous situations. In this work, we propose a data-driven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Yue Meng , Dawei Sun , Zeng Qiu , Md Tawhid Bin Waez , Chuchu Fan

We consider data-driven reachability analysis of discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems using conformal inference. We assume that we are not provided with a symbolic representation of the stochastic system, but instead have access to a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Navid Hashemi , Xin Qin , Lars Lindemann , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

Neural Networks (NNs) can provide major empirical performance improvements for robotic systems, but they also introduce challenges in formally analyzing those systems' safety properties. In particular, this work focuses on estimating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-26 Michael Everett , Golnaz Habibi , Jonathan P. How

We propose a two stage procedure for the estimation of the parameters of a fairly general, continuous-time stochastic volatility. An important ingredient of the proposed method is the Cuchiero-Teichmann volatility estimator, which is based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Milan Merkle , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

This work proposes a notion of robust reachability of one set from another set under constant control. This notion is used to construct a control strategy, involving sequential set-to-set reachability, which guarantees robust global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-11-21 Iasson Karafyllis , Costas Kravaris

In this paper we propose a new methodology for decision-making under uncertainty using recent advancements in the areas of nonlinear stochastic optimal control theory, applied mathematics, and machine learning. Grounded on the fundamental…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Marcus Pereira , Ziyi Wang , Ioannis Exarchos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

An important mathematical tool in the analysis of dynamical systems is the approximation of the reach set, i.e., the set of states reachable after a given time from a given initial state. This set is difficult to compute for complex systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Abdelmouaiz Tebjou , Goran Frehse , Faïcel Chamroukhi

Autonomous motion planning under unknown nonlinear dynamics presents significant challenges. An agent needs to continuously explore the system dynamics to acquire its properties, such as reachability, in order to guide system navigation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Zhiquan Zhang , Gokul Puthumanaillam , Manav Vora , Melkior Ornik

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

To verify the correct operation of systems, engineers need to determine the set of configurations of a dynamical model that are able to safely reach a specified configuration under a control law. Unfortunately, constructing models for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Shankar Mohan , Victor Shia , Ram Vasudevan

A particularly challenging problem in AI safety is providing guarantees on the behavior of high-dimensional autonomous systems. Verification approaches centered around reachability analysis fail to scale, and purely statistical approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Souradeep Dutta , Michele Caprio , Vivian Lin , Matthew Cleaveland , Kuk Jin Jang , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Trajectory planning under uncertainty is an active research topic. Previous works predict state and state estimation uncertainties along trajectories to check for collision safety. They assume either stochastic or bounded sensing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Akshay Shetty , Grace Xingxin Gao

We propose a stochastic reachability computation framework for occupancy prediction in automated driving by directly solving the underlying transport partial differential equation governing the advection of the closed-loop joint density…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Shadi Haddad , Abhishek Halder , Baljeet Singh

We investigate the autonomous navigation of a mobile robot in the presence of other moving vehicles under time-varying uncertain environmental disturbances. We first predict the future state distributions of other vehicles to account for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Junhong Xu , Kai Yin , Lantao Liu

This paper considers discrete-time linear systems with bounded additive disturbances, and studies the convergence properties of the backward reachable sets of robust controlled invariant sets (RCIS). Under a simple condition, we prove that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-28 Zexiang Liu , Necmiye Ozay

We consider the problem of stochastic optimal control in the presence of an unknown disturbance. We characterize the disturbance via empirical characteristic functions, and employ a chance constrained approach. By exploiting properties of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Meeko M. K. Oishi
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