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In this paper a constructive method to determine and compute probabilistic reachable and invariant sets for linear discrete-time systems, excited by a stochastic disturbance, is presented. The samples of the disturbance signal are not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-16 Mirko Fiacchini , Teodoro Alamo

Determining the reachable set for a given nonlinear control system is crucial for system control and planning. However, computing such a set is impossible if the system's dynamics are not fully known. This paper is motivated by a scenario…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Taha Shafa , Melkior Ornik

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Validating and controlling safety-critical systems in uncertain environments necessitates probabilistic reachable sets of future state evolutions. The existing methods of computing probabilistic reachable sets normally assume that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-03 Xun Shen , Ye Wang , Kazumune Hashimoto , Yuhu Wu , Sebastien Gros

We examine Lagrangian techniques for computing underapproximations of finite-time horizon, stochastic reach-avoid level-sets for discrete-time, nonlinear systems. We use the concept of reachability of a target tube in the control literature…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-13 Joseph D. Gleason , Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko. M. K. Oishi

In this paper, we present an analytical approach for the synthesis of ellipsoidal probabilistic reachable sets of saturated systems subject to unbounded additive noise. Using convex optimization methods, we compute a contraction factor of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Carlo Karam , Matteo Tacchi-Bénard , Mirko Fiacchini

This work proposes a robust data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded process and measurement noise. Data-driven reachable sets are employed for the controller design instead of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mahsa Farjadnia , Amr Alanwar , Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Marco Molinari , Karl Henrik Johansson

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

With the recent surge of interest in introducing autonomous vehicles to the everyday lives of people, developing accurate and generalizable algorithms for predicting human behavior becomes highly crucial. Moreover, many of these emerging…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-20 Jennifer Shih

In this paper we examine how Lagrangian techniques can be used to compute underapproximations and overapproximation of the finite-time horizon, stochastic reach-avoid level sets for discrete-time, nonlinear systems. This approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-17 Joseph D. Gleason , Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko M. K. Oishi

We present an algorithm for data-driven reachability analysis that estimates finite-horizon forward reachable sets for general nonlinear systems using level sets of a certain class of polynomials known as Christoffel functions. The level…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-29 Alex Devonport , Forest Yang , Laurent El Ghaoui , Murat Arcak

There has been an increasing interest in using neural networks in closed-loop control systems to improve performance and reduce computational costs for on-line implementation. However, providing safety and stability guarantees for these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-20 Haimin Hu , Mahyar Fazlyab , Manfred Morari , George J. Pappas

We present theory and algorithms for the computation of probability-weighted "keep-out" sets to assure probabilistically safe navigation in the presence of multiple rigid body obstacles with stochastic dynamics. Our forward stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko M. K. Oishi

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

A fundamental question in systems biology is what combinations of mean and variance of the species present in a stochastic biochemical reaction network are attainable by perturbing the system with an external signal. To address this…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Francesca Parise , Maria Elena Valcher , John Lygeros

A shortcoming of existing reachability approaches for nonlinear systems is the poor scalability with the number of continuous state variables. To mitigate this problem we present a simulation-based approach where we first sample a number of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Murat Arcak , John Maidens

We propose a stochastic approximation method for approximating the efficient frontier of chance-constrained nonlinear programs. Our approach is based on a bi-objective viewpoint of chance-constrained programs that seeks solutions on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Rohit Kannan , James Luedtke

One often wishes for the ability to formally analyze large-scale systems---typically, however, one can either formally analyze a rather small system or informally analyze a large-scale system. This work tries to further close this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Matthias Althoff

In this paper, we address the stochastic reach-avoid problem for linear systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. We seek to compute the maximum probability that the states remain in a safe set over a finite time horizon and reach a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-12 Hossein Sartipizadeh , Abraham P. Vinod , Behcet Acikmese , Meeko Oishi