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A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinion, which results from the combination of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-09 Serge Galam

We consider importance sampling as well as other properly weighted samples with respect to a target distribution $\pi$ from a different point of view. By considering the associated weights as sojourn times until the next jump, we define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Malefaki , G. Iliopoulos

We study a generalized geometric Brownian motion framework that incorporates both entries of new units and exit mechanisms for the current population, extending earlier stochastic resetting models where these rates are treated as identical.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-20 Suvam Pal , Viktor Stojkoski , Arnab Pal , Trifce Sandev

The time proximity of trades across stocks reveals interesting topological structures of the equity market in the United States. In this article, we investigate how such concurrent cross-stock trading behaviors, which we denote as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Yutong Lu , Gesine Reinert , Mihai Cucuringu

The agent-based model of stock price dynamics on a directed evolving complex network is suggested and studied by direct simulation. The stationary regime is maintained as a result of the balance between the extremal dynamics, adaptivity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Horvath , Z. Kuscsik

We study the optimal investment problem for a continuous time incomplete market model such that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the volatility of the stocks are all random; they are assumed to be independent from the driving…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Xiao-Qian Sun , Xue-Qi Cheng , Hua-Wei Shen , Zhao-Yang Wang

We consider an investor who is dynamically informed about the future evolution of one of the independent Brownian motions driving a stock's price fluctuations. With linear temporary price impact the resulting optimal investment problem with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-13 Peter Bank , Yan Dolinsky

Stock prices often react sluggishly to news, producing gradual jumps and jump delays. Econometricians typically treat these sluggish reactions as microstructure effects and settle for a coarse sampling grid to guard against them.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-28 Nabil Bouamara , Kris Boudt , Sébastien Laurent , Christopher J. Neely

Stylized facts can be regarded as constraints for any modeling attempt of price dynamics on a financial market, in that an empirically reasonable model has to reproduce these stylized facts at least qualitatively. The dynamics of market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-12 Stefan Reimann , Andreas Tupak

Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Josep Perelló , Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Jaume Masoliver

We propose a frustrated and disordered many-body model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive traders can trade a stock subject to the economic law of supply and demand. We show that the typical scaling properties and the correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabio Franci , Lorenzo Matassini

Financial markets exhibit alternating periods of rising and falling prices. Stock traders seeking to make profitable investment decisions have to account for those trends, where the goal is to accurately predict switches from bullish…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-30 Lennart Oelschläger , Timo Adam

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

Based on the daily data of American and Chinese stock markets, the dynamic behavior of a financial network with static and dynamic thresholds is investigated. Compared with the static threshold, the dynamic threshold suppresses the large…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Tian Qiu , Bo Zheng , Guang Chen

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

This paper tends to define the quantitative relationship between the stock price and time as a time function. Based on the empirical evidence that the log-return of a stock is the series of white noise, a mathematical model of the integral…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Shengfeng Mei , Hong Gao

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

We have shown, in a series of articles, that a classical description of a large number of economic agents can be replaced by a statistical fields formalism. To better understand the accumulation and allocation of capital among different…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-15 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz