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Conformal Prediction (CP) provides distribution-free uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction sets that guarantee coverage of the true labels. This reliability makes CP valuable for high-stakes federated learning scenarios such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Rui Xu , Xingyuan Chen , Wenxing Huang , Minxuan Huang , Yun Xie , Weiyan Chen , Sihong Xie

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free method for constructing prediction sets with marginal finite-sample coverage guarantees, making it a suitable framework for reliable uncertainty quantification in safety-critical object…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Christopher Ries , Moussa Kassem Sbeyti , Nicolas Bianco , Nadja Klein

Iterative Closest Point (ICP) is a commonly used algorithm to estimate transformation between two point clouds. The key idea of this work is to leverage recent advances in explainable AI for probabilistic ICP methods that provide…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Ziyuan Qin , Jongseok Lee , Rudolph Triebel

A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-16 Umberto Picchini , Rachele Anderson

The study of phase transition phenomenon of NP complete problems plays an important role in understanding the nature of hard problems. In this paper, we follow this line of research by considering the problem of counting solutions of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-02-25 Minghao Yin , Ping Huang

Semantic segmentation networks (SSNs) are central to safety-critical applications such as medical imaging and autonomous driving, where robustness under uncertainty is essential. However, existing probabilistic verification methods often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Navid Hashemi , Samuel Sasaki , Diego Manzanas Lopez , Lars Lindemann , Ipek Oguz , Meiyi Ma , Taylor T. Johnson

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

In the context of selective inference, confidence envelopes for the false discoveries allow the user to select any subset of null hypotheses while having a statistical guarantee on the number of false discoveries in the selected set. Many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Romain Périer , Gilles Blanchard , Sebastian Döhler , Guillermo Durand , Etienne Roquain

We investigate the accuracy of the coherent potential approximation (CPA) for a one-dimensional array with nearest-neighbor interactions and a Gaussian distribution of fluctuations in the on-site potential. The CPA values of the integrated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-18 I. Avgin , D. L. Huber

The discrete $\alpha$-neighbor $p$-center problem (d-$\alpha$-$p$CP) is an emerging variant of the classical $p$-center problem which recently got attention in literature. In this problem, we are given a discrete set of points and we need…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Elisabeth Gaar , Markus Sinnl

In this work, we introduce and study the $p$-$\alpha$-closest-center problem ($p\alpha$CCP), which generalizes the $p$-second-center problem, a recently emerged variant of the classical $p$-center problem. In the $p\alpha$CCP, we are given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Elisabeth Gaar , Sara Joosten , Markus Sinnl

We construct an asymptotic approximation to the solution of a transmission problem for a body containing a region occupied by many small inclusions. The cluster of inclusions is characterised by two small parameters that determine the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Michael Nieves

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

A new probability distribution to study lifetime data in reliability is introduced in this paper. This one is a first approach to a non-homogeneous phase-type distribution. It is built by considering one cut-point in the non-negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Christian Acal , Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , David Maldonado , Juan B. Roldán

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

The problem of identifying regions of spatially interesting, different or adversarial behavior is inherent to many practical applications involving distributed multisensor systems. In this work, we develop a general framework stemming from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-14 Martin Gölz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Visa Koivunen

The coherent potential approximation (CPA) is extended to describe satisfactorily the motion of particles in a random potential which is spatially correlated and smoothly varying. In contrast to existing cluster-CPA methods, the present…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-20 Roland Zimmermann , Christoph Schindler

Language models generate text based on successively sampling the next word. A decoding procedure based on nucleus (top-$p$) sampling chooses from the smallest possible set of words whose cumulative probability exceeds the probability $p$.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Shauli Ravfogel , Yoav Goldberg , Jacob Goldberger

Conformal Prediction (CP) has proven to be an effective post-hoc method for improving the trustworthiness of neural networks by providing prediction sets with finite-sample guarantees. However, under adversarial attacks, classical conformal…

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang