Related papers: A Gibbs Conditional theorem under extreme deviatio…
We study the distribution of the occurrence of rare patterns in sufficiently mixing Gibbs random fields on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 2$. A typical example is the high temperature Ising model. This distribution is shown to converge…
The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…
The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…
\noindent We study the asymptotic behavior of a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables conditioned by a sum of independent and identically distributed integer-valued random variables. We prove a Berry-Esseen bound…
Conditional Equi-concentration of Types on I-projections (ICET) and Extended Gibbs Conditioning Principle (EGCP) provide an extension of Conditioned Weak Law of Large Numbers and of Gibbs Conditioning Principle to the case of non-unique…
We consider dynamical systems on a finite measure space fulfilling a spectral gap property and Birkhoff sums of a non-negative, non-integrable observable. For such systems we generalize strong laws of large numbers for intermediately…
We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…
Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…
Understanding rare events is critical across domains ranging from signal processing to reliability and structural safety, extreme-weather forecasting, and insurance. The analysis of rare events is a computationally challenging problem,…
We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.
The aim of this paper is to use non asymptotic bounds for the probability of rare events in the Sanov theorem, in order to study the asymptotics in conditional limit theorems (Gibbs conditioning principle for thin sets). Applications to…
We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…
Given n independent Bernoulli(p) random variables X_i, i = 1, ..., n, representing the opinions of individuals connected by an underlying random k-regular graph G_n on {1, ..., n}, we show that when conditioned on an atypical empirical…
This paper deals with Gibbs samplers that include high dimensional conditional Gaussian distributions. It proposes an efficient algorithm that avoids the high dimensional Gaussian sampling and relies on a random excursion along a small set…
It is known that large deviations of sums of subexponential random variables are most likely realised by deviations of a single random variable. In this article we give a detailed picture of how subexponential random variables are…
This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a functions of its summands as their number tends to infinity. The conditioning event is of moderate or…
In this paper, we derive a valid Edgeworth expansions for the Bessel corrected empirical variance when data are generated by a strongly mixing process whose distribution can be arbitrarily. The constraint of strongly mixing process makes…
We give an improved estimate for the regularity of the conditional distribution of the empiric mean of a finite sample of IID random variables, conditional on the sample "fluctuations", extending the well-known property of Gaussian IID…
We construct a non - improved exponential bounds for distribution of normed sums of i.,i.d. random variables with random numbers of summand.
It is well known that an extreme order statistic and a central order statistic (os) as well as an intermediate os and a central os from a sample of iid univariate random variables get asymptotically independent as the sample size increases.…