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From doctors diagnosing patients to judges setting bail, experts often base their decisions on experience and intuition rather than on statistical models. While understandable, relying on intuition over models has often been found to result…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Jongbin Jung , Connor Concannon , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel , Daniel G. Goldstein

We discuss stochastic dynamics of populations of individuals playing games. Our models possess two evolutionarily stable strategies: an efficient one, where a population is in a state with the maximal payoff (fitness) and a risk-dominant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Jacek Miekisz

The tendency of repeating past choices more often than expected from the history of outcomes has been repeatedly empirically observed in reinforcement learning experiments. It can be explained by at least two computational processes:…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Isabelle Hoxha , Leo Sperber , Stefano Palminteri

Consider a mathematical model of evolutionary adaptation of fitness landscape and mutation matrix as a reaction to population changes. As a basis, we use an open quasispecies model, which is modified to include explicit death flow. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-25 Igor Samokhin , Tatiana Yakushkina , Alexander S. Bratus

We analyze the trade-off between model complexity and accuracy for random forests by breaking the trees up into individual classification rules and selecting a subset of them. We show experimentally that already a few rules are sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Michael Rapp , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

Complex change is often described as "evolutionary" in economics, policy, and technology, yet most system dynamics models remain constrained to fixed state spaces and equilibrium-seeking behavior. This paper argues that evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Dan Adler

Sewall Wright's adaptive landscape metaphor penetrates a significant part of evolutionary thinking. Supplemented with Fisher's fundamental theorem of natural selection and Kimura's maximum principle, it provides a unifying and intuitive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-05 Alexander S. Bratus , Artem S. Novozhilov , Yuri S. Semenov

Learning for animals or humans is the process that leads to behaviors better adapted to the environment. This process highly depends on the individual that learns and is usually observed only through the individual's actions. This article…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-20 Julien Aubert , Louis Köhler , Luc Lehéricy , Giulia Mezzadri , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

A suite of statistical methods are used to study animal movement. Most of these methods treat animal telemetry data in one of three ways: as discrete processes, as continuous processes, or as point processes. We briefly review each of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-20 Mevin B. Hooten , Xinyi Lu , Martha J. Garlick , James A. Powell

Adaptive experiments, including efficient average treatment effect estimation and multi-armed bandit algorithms, have garnered attention in various applications, such as social experiments, clinical trials, and online advertisement…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-24 Masahiro Kato

In most practical adaptive signal processing systems, e.g., active noise control, active vibration control, and acoustic echo cancellation, substantial nonlinearities that cannot be neglected exist. In this paper, we analyze the behaviors…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Seiji Miyoshi

We revisit the finite-armed linear bandit model by Nelson et al. (2022), where contexts and rewards are governed by a finite hidden Markov chain. Nelson et al. (2022) approach this model by a reduction to linear contextual bandits; but to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Zhen Li , Gilles Stoltz

Machine learning models trained on uncurated datasets can often end up adversely affecting inputs belonging to underrepresented groups. To address this issue, we consider the problem of adaptively constructing training sets which allow us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Greg Fields , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Tara Javidi

Cooperative behavior is prevalent in both human society and nature. Understanding the emergence and maintenance of cooperation among self-interested individuals remains a significant challenge in evolutionary biology and social sciences.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Lanyu Yang , Dongchun Jiang , Fuqiang Guo , Mingjian Fu

In this review, we examine the problem of designing interpretable and explainable machine learning models. Interpretability and explainability lie at the core of many machine learning and statistical applications in medicine, economics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

In many domains, the exploration process of reinforcement learning will be too costly as it requires trying out suboptimal policies, resulting in a need for off-policy evaluation, in which a target policy is evaluated based on data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 David M. Bossens , Philip S. Thomas

Developing reliable mechanisms for continuous local learning is a central challenge faced by biological and artificial systems. Yet, how the environmental factors and structural constraints on the learning network influence the optimal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Emmanouil Giannakakis , Sina Khajehabdollahi , Anna Levina

The evolution of preferences that account for other agents' fitness, or other-regarding preferences, has been modeled with the "indirect approach" to evolutionary game theory. Under the indirect evolutionary approach, agents make decisions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Anthony DiGiovanni , Nicolas Macé , Jesse Clifton

It has long been hypothesized that operating close to the critical state is beneficial for natural and artificial systems. We test this hypothesis by evolving foraging agents controlled by neural networks that can change the system's…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Jan Prosi , Sina Khajehabdollahi , Emmanouil Giannakakis , Georg Martius , Anna Levina

In complex systems, the interplay between nonlinear and stochastic dynamics, e.g., J. Monod's necessity and chance, gives rise to an evolutionary process in Darwinian sense, in terms of discrete jumps among attractors, with punctuated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-03-18 Hong Qian