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Most research on adaptive decision-making takes a strategy-first approach, proposing a method of solving a problem and then examining whether it can be implemented in the brain and in what environments it succeeds. We present a method for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-09-21 Peter Kvam , Joseph Cesario , Jory Schossau , Heather Eisthen , Arend Hintze

The theory of evolution by natural selection cannot be used to evaluate the truth value of the following proposition: Through evolution, there exists at least one species that can adapt to any one given environment. To address this issue,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Kai Xu

We study a dynamic random utility model that allows for consumption dependence. We axiomatically analyze this model and find insights that allow us to distinguish between behavior that arises due to consumption dependence and behavior that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-20 Christopher Turansick

Complex adaptive systems have been the subject of much recent attention. It is by now well-established that members (`agents') tend to self-segregate into opposing groups characterized by extreme behavior. However, while different social…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Shahar Hod , Ehud Nakar

Agents acting in the natural world aim at selecting appropriate actions based on noisy and partial sensory observations. Many behaviors leading to decision mak- ing and action selection in a closed loop setting are naturally phrased within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-30 Alex Susemihl , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g., where exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-04 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan , Ali E. Abbas , Zbigniew R. Struzik

What fascinates us about animal behavior is its richness and complexity, but understanding behavior and its neural basis requires a simpler description. Traditionally, simplification has been imposed by training animals to engage in a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-13 Greg J. Stephens , Leslie C. Osborne , William Bialek

In this paper, we discuss the fitness landscape evolution of permanent replicator systems using a hypothesis that the specific time of evolutionary adaptation of the system parameters is much slower than the time of internal evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-11 Sergei Drozhzhin , Tatiana Yakushkina , Alexander Bratus

This paper expands on existing learned models of human behavior via a measured step in structured irrationality. Specifically, by replacing the suboptimality constant $\beta$ in a Boltzmann rationality model with a function over states…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Osher Lerner

Biological intelligence is inherently adaptive -- animals continually adjust their actions based on environmental feedback. However, creating adaptive artificial intelligence (AI) remains a major challenge. The next frontier is to go beyond…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-06 Mackenzie Weygandt Mathis

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

The adaptive fitness of an organism in its ecological niche is highly reliant upon its ability to associate an environmental or internal stimulus with a behavior response through reinforcement. This simple but powerful observation has been…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-01 Roy E. Clymer , Sanjeev V. Namjoshi

Robots that are trained to perform a task in a fixed environment often fail when facing unexpected changes to the environment due to a lack of exploration. We propose a principled way to adapt the policy for better exploration in changing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Xingyu Lin , Pengsheng Guo , Carlos Florensa , David Held

We study the performance of different methods for processing information, incorporating narrative selection within an evolutionary model. All agents update their beliefs according to Bayes' Rule, but some strategically choose the narrative…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-06 Federico Innocenti , Roberto Rozzi

We consider adaptive decision-making problems where an agent optimizes a cumulative performance objective by repeatedly choosing among a finite set of options. Compared to the classical prediction-with-expert-advice set-up, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Michael Muehlebach

Nature is in constant flux, so animals must account for changes in their environment when making decisions. How animals learn the timescale of such changes and adapt their decision strategies accordingly is not well understood. Recent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-24 Zachary P. Kilpatrick , William R. Holmes , Tahra L. Eissa , Krešimir Josić

This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Kaiwen Hou

Humans and other animals often follow the decisions made by others because these are indicative of the quality of possible choices, resulting in `social response rules': observed relationships between the probability that an agent will make…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-28 Richard P. Mann

An increasing number of decisions are guided by machine learning algorithms. In many settings, from consumer credit to criminal justice, those decisions are made by applying an estimator to data on an individual's observed behavior. But…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-04-09 Daniel Björkegren , Joshua E. Blumenstock , Samsun Knight

There is a growing desire in the field of reinforcement learning (and machine learning in general) to move from black-box models toward more "interpretable AI." We improve interpretability of reinforcement learning by increasing the utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Aaron M. Roth , Nicholay Topin , Pooyan Jamshidi , Manuela Veloso
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