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Recent investigations have emphasized the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ) to describe errors in nuclear theory. We carry out UQ for configuration-interaction shell model calculations in the $1s$-$0d$ valence space,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-05-20 Jordan M. R. Fox , Calvin W. Johnson , Rodrigo Navarro Perez

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a critical role in verifying and validating forward integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) models. Among numerous ICME models, the crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) is a…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-01-27 Anh Tran , Pieterjan Robbe , Tim Wildey , David Montes de Oca Zapiain , Hojun Lim

The solutions to many problems in the mathematical, computational, and physical sciences often involve multidimensional integrals. A direct numerical evaluation of the integral incurs a computational cost that is exponential in the number…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-15 Ryan T. Grimm , Alexander J. Staat , Joel D. Eaves

Uncertainty quantification is a critical missing component in radio interferometric imaging that will only become increasingly important as the big-data era of radio interferometry emerges. Since radio interferometric imaging requires…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-12 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

Emergence of artificial intelligence techniques in biomedical applications urges the researchers to pay more attention on the uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine-assisted medical decision making. For classification tasks, prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Xiaoyang Huang , Jiancheng Yang , Linguo Li , Haoran Deng , Bingbing Ni , Yi Xu

Accurately evaluating configurational integrals for dense solids remains a central and difficult challenge in the statistical mechanics of condensed systems. Here, we present a novel tensor network approach that reformulates the…

Ice sheet simulations suffer from vast parametric uncertainties, such as the basal sliding boundary condition or geothermal heat flux. Quantifying the resulting uncertainties in predictions is of utmost importance to support judicious…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-12-10 Nicole Aretz , Max Gunzburger , Mathieu Morlighem , Karen Willcox

Predicting fuel assembly bow in pressurized water reactors requires solving tightly coupled fluid-structure interaction problems, whose direct simulations can be computationally prohibitive, making large-scale uncertainty quantification…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ali Abboud , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Leturcq , Stanislas de Lambert

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

By considering the local quantum uncertainty (LQU) as a measure of quantum correlations, the thermal evolution of a two-qubit-superconducting system is investigated. We show that the thermal LQU can be increased by manipulating the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-27 M. R. Pourkarimi , S. Haddadi , M. Nashaat , K. V. Kulikov , Yu. M. Shukrinov

We consider the problem of quantifying uncertainty regarding the output of an electromagnetic field problem in the presence of a large number of uncertain input parameters. In order to reduce the growth in complexity with the number of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ulrich Römer , Herbert De Gersem

Machine learning (ML) offers promising new approaches to tackle complex problems and has been increasingly adopted in chemical and materials sciences. Broadly speaking, ML models employ generic mathematical functions and attempt to learn…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-21 Jin Dai , Santosh Adhikari , Mingjian Wen

Treating uncertainties in models is essential in many fields of science and engineering. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex and computationally costly numerical models necessitates a combination of efficient model solvers, advanced…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Linus Seelinger , Anne Reinarz , Jean Benezech , Mikkel Bue Lykkegaard , Lorenzo Tamellini , Robert Scheichl

Constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex partial differential equations (PDEs) having inherently high-dimensional $\mathcal{O}(10^{\ge 2})$ stochastic inputs (e.g., forcing terms, boundary conditions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis , Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields

The calibration of complex computer codes using uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods is a rich area of statistical methodological development. When applying these techniques to simulators with spatial output, it is now standard to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-25 James M Salter , Daniel B Williamson , John Scinocca , Viatcheslav Kharin

Optimization models have been broadly used within side the energy industry as useful decision-making systems for scheduling and dispatching electric powered energy resources; this is applied in a system called unit commitment (UC). Unit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Angel Zambrano

We present a Bayesian model calibration framework for inferring nonlinear constitutive relationships in heat conduction problems, with a focus on temperature-dependent thermal conductivity. The proposed framework integrates gradient-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quarghebeur

OOD detection has become more pertinent with advances in network design and increased task complexity. Identifying which parts of the data a given network is misclassifying has become as valuable as the network's overall performance. We can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Rishi Singhal , Srinath Srinivasan

We consider the problem of estimating a temperature-dependent thermal conductivity model (curve) from temperature measurements. We apply a Bayesian estimation approach that takes into account measurement errors and limited prior information…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quaeghebeur

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang
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