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We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

Thermal or finite-size scaling analyses of importance sampling Monte Carlo time series in the vicinity of phase transition points often combine different estimates for the same quantity, such as a critical exponent, with the intent to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-08 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Quantiles and expected shortfalls are usually used to measure risks of stochastic systems, which are often estimated by Monte Carlo methods. This paper focuses on the use of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method, whose convergence rate is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

In the finite-size scaling analysis of Monte Carlo data, instead of computing the observables at fixed Hamiltonian parameters, one may choose to keep a renormalization-group invariant quantity, also called phenomenological coupling, fixed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-31 Francesco Parisen Toldin

Quasi-Monte Carlo sampling can attain far better accuracy than plain Monte Carlo sampling. However, with plain Monte Carlo sampling it is much easier to estimate the attained accuracy. This article describes methods old and new to quantify…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Art B. Owen

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones

Besides the well-known effect of autocorrelations in time series of Monte Carlo simulation data resulting from the underlying Markov process, using the same data pool for computing various estimates entails additional cross correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-20 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Using the concept of finite-size scaling, Monte Carlo calculations of various models have become a very useful tool for the study of critical phenomena, with the system linear dimension as a variable. As an example, several recent studies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kurt Binder , Erik Luijten , Marcus Müller , Nigel B. Wilding , Henk W. J. Blöte

Spectral clustering is a popular unsupervised learning technique which is able to partition unlabelled data into disjoint clusters of distinct shapes. However, the data under consideration are often experimental data, implying that the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-26 Jürgen Dölz , Jolanda Weygandt

Contemporary scientific studies often rely on the understanding of complex quantum systems via computer simulation. This paper initiates the statistical study of quantum simulation and proposes a Monte Carlo method for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-04 Yazhen Wang

Large-scale Monte Carlo simulations, together with scaling, are used to obtain the critical behavior of the Hastings long-range model and two corresponding models based on small-world networks. These models have combined short- and…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-05-23 X. Zhang , M. A. Novotny

Monte Carlo simulations are based on the manipulation of random numbers to evaluate probable outcomes, with applicability in a variety of different fields. By assigning probabilities, which can be determined a priori, to various events, it…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-01-03 Parasuraman Swaminathan

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-04-14 Jaan Kalda

In Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations, the thermal equilibria quantities are estimated by ensemble average over a sample set containing a large number of correlated samples. These samples are selected in accordance with the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-08 J. Li , P. Vignal , S. Sun , V. M. Calo

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

Distance queries are a basic tool in data analysis. They are used for detection and localization of change for the purpose of anomaly detection, monitoring, or planning. Distance queries are particularly useful when data sets such as…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Edith Cohen

High-quality random samples of quantum states are needed for a variety of tasks in quantum information and quantum computation. Searching the high-dimensional quantum state space for a global maximum of an objective function with many local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-28 Jiangwei Shang , Yi-Lin Seah , Hui Khoon Ng , David John Nott , Berthold-Georg Englert

We propose to compute physical properties by Monte Carlo calculations using conditional expectation values. The latter are obtained on top of the usual Monte Carlo sampling by partitioning the physical space in several subspaces or…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Antoine Bienvenu , Jonas Feldt , Julien Toulouse , Roland Assaraf

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey
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