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In this paper we consider autoregressive models with conditional autoregressive variance, including the case of homoscedastic AR-models and the case of ARCH models. Our aim is to test the hypothesis of normality for the innovations in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

This paper considers a class of nonparametric autoregressive models with nonstationarity. We propose a nonparametric kernel test for the conditional mean and then establish an asymptotic distribution of the proposed test. Both the setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Jiti Gao , Maxwell King , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

We consider a nonparametric autoregression model under conditional heteroscedasticity with the aim to test whether the innovation distribution changes in time. To this end we develop an asymptotic expansion for the sequential empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Leonie Selk , Natalie Neumeyer

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

In this paper we propose a new test of heteroscedasticity for parametric regression models and partial linear regression models in high dimensional settings. When the dimension of covariates is large, existing tests of heteroscedasticity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-09 Falong Tan , Xuejun Jiang , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

The problem of testing for the parametric form of the conditional variance is considered in a fully nonparametric regression model. A test statistic based on a weighted $L_2$-distance between the empirical characteristic functions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernandez , M. Dolores Jimenez-Gamero

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

This study compares statistical properties of ARCH tests that are robust to the presence of the misspecified conditional mean. The approaches employed in this study are based on two nonparametric regressions for the conditional mean. First…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-04 Daiki Maki , Yasushi Ota

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

In this paper, we propose a new test for checking the parametric form of the conditional variance based on distance covariance in nonlinear and nonparametric regression models. Inherit from the nice properties of distance covariance, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Falong Tan

In this paper we consider a regression model that allows for time series covariates as well as heteroscedasticity with a regression function that is modelled nonparametrically. We assume that the regression function changes at some unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Maria Mohr , Leonie Selk

In this paper we study the problem of testing the null hypothesis that errors from k independent parametrically specified generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models have the same distribution versus a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-05 Ajay Chandra

Identifying relationships among stochastic processes is a core objective in many fields, such as economics. While the standard toolkit for multivariate time series analysis has many advantages, it can be difficult to capture nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Michael Wieck-Sosa , Michel F. C. Haddad , Aaditya Ramdas

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

We consider a nonparametric heteroscedastic time series regression model and suggest testing procedures to detect changes in the conditional variance function. The tests are based on a sequential marked empirical process and thus combine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

We develop a Hilbert--Schmidt independence criterion (HSIC)-based framework for testing serial independence in strictly stationary time series. The proposed auto Hilbert--Schmidt independence criterion (AutoHSIC) measures dependence between…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Muyi Li , Yuqing Xu , Zhou Zhou
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