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Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper, we study the structural state and input observability of continuous-time switched linear time-invariant systems and unknown inputs. First, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for their structural state and input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-29 Emily A. Reed , Guilherme Ramos , Paul Bogdan , Sérgio Pequito

Based on a version of Dudley's Wiener process on the mass shell in the momentum Minkowski space of a massive point particle, a model of a relativistic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process is constructed by addition of a specific drift term. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-03-22 Jürgen Potthoff , Robert Schrader

We study the change detection problem with an unknown post-change distribution. Under this constraint, the unknown change in the distribution of observations may occur in many ways without much structure on the observations, whereas, before…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

In a variety of different settings cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedures have been applied for the sequential detection of structural breaks in the parameters of stochastic models. Yet their performance depends strongly on the time of change…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

Change point analyses are concerned with identifying positions of an ordered stochastic process that undergo abrupt local changes of some underlying distribution. When multiple processes are observed, it is often the case that information…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 José J. Quinlan , Garritt L. Page , Luis M. Castro

Measurement on sets with a specific geometric shape can be of interest for many important applications (e.g. measurement along the isotherms in structural engineering). In the present paper the properties of optimal designs for estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sándor Baran , Milan Stehlík

Detecting structural changes in functional data is a prominent topic in statistical literature. However not all trends in the data are important in applications, but only those of large enough influence. In this paper we address the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Holger Dette , Tim Kutta

We consider detecting change points in the correlation structure of streaming data with minimum assumptions posed on the underlying data distribution. Detection statistics are constructed for dense and sparse change settings, based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jie Gao , Liyan Xie , Zhaoyuan Li

We consider an estimator for the location of a shift in the mean of long-range dependent sequences. The estimation is based on the two-sample Wilcoxon statistic. Consistency and the rate of convergence for the estimated change point are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Annika Betken

In preliminary analysis of control charts, one may encounter multiple shifts and/or outliers especially with a large number of observations. The following paper addresses this problem. A statistical model for detecting and estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Markov processes restarted or reset at random times to a fixed state or region in space have been actively studied recently in connection with random searches, foraging, and population dynamics. Here we study the large deviations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-06 Janusz M. Meylahn , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Hugo Touchette

We consider a continuous-time Ehrenfest model defined over the integers from -N to N, and subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate. The effect of each catastrophe instantaneously resets the process to state 0. We investigate both…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Selvamuthu Dharmaraja , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Virginia Giorno , Amelia G. Nobile

This paper considers a sequence of random variables generated according to a common distribution. The distribution might undergo periods of transient changes at an unknown set of time instants, referred to as change-points. The objective is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Javad Heydari , Ali Tajer

Many time series exhibit changes both in level and in variability. Generally, it is more important to detect a change in the level, and changing or smoothly evolving variability can confound existing tests. This paper develops a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-09 Tomasz Gorecki , Lajos Horvath , Piotr Kokoszka

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Phylogenetic comparative methods are well established tools for using inter-species variation to analyse phenotypic evolution and adaptation. They are generally hampered, however, by predominantly univariate approaches and failure to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-13 Krzysztof Bartoszek

We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

Nonlinear dynamical systems with regime transitions are typically described by ordinary differential equations with jumping parameters parameters. Traditional methods often treat change-point detection and parameter estimation as separate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yuhe Bai , Chengli Tan , Jiaqi Li , Xiangjun Wang , Zhikun Zhang

Change point estimation is often formulated as a search for the maximum of a gain function describing improved fits when segmenting the data. Searching through all candidates requires $O(n)$ evaluations of the gain function for an interval…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Lorenz Haubner , Axel Munk , Peter Bühlmann