English
Related papers

Related papers: The critical Galton-Watson process vanishes

200 papers

The Galton-Watson process is a Markov chain modeling the population size of independently reproducing particles giving birth to $k$ offspring with probability $p_k$, $k\ge0$. In this paper we consider {\it defective} Galton-Watson processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Serik Sagitov , Carmen Minuesa

We study the iterated Galton-Watson process (IGW), possibly with thinning, introduced by Gawe{\l}and Kimmel to model the number of repeats of DNA triplets during some genetic disorders. If the process involves some thinning, then extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

We study the decay of survival probability at quantum phase transitions (QPT). The semiclassical theory is found applicable in the vicinities of critical points with infinite degeneracy. The theory predicts a power law decay of the survival…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Wen-ge Wang , Pinquan Qin , Lewei He , Ping Wang

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

In this somewhat didactic note we give a detailed alternative proof of the known result due to Wei and Winnicki (1989) which states that under second order moment assumptions on the offspring and immigration distributions the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány , Gyula Pap

We give an explicit formula for the most likely path to extinction for the Galton-Watson processes with large initial population. We establish this result with the help of the large deviation principle (LDP) which also recovers the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Reinhard Bürger

This paper provides a detailed analysis of the lower deviation probability properties for a $d$-type ($d>1$) Galton--Watson (GW) process $\{\textbf{Z}_n=(Z_n^{(i)})_{1\le i\le d};n\ge0\}$ in both Schr\"{o}der and B\"{o}ttcher cases. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Tan Jiangrui

This paper deals with branching processes in varying environment, namely, whose offspring distributions depend on the generations. We provide sufficient conditions for survival or extinction which rely only on the first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Daniela Bertacchi , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Fabio Zucca

We investigate the quasi-limiting behaviour of bisexual subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes. While classical subcritical Galton-Watson processes have been extensively analyzed, bisexual Galton-Watson branching processes present…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Coralie Fritsch , Denis Villemonais , Nicolás Zalduendo

We consider the extinction events of Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton-Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Peter Braunsteins , Geoffrey Decrouez , Sophie Hautphenne

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton--Watson processes conditioned on the total progeny. We consider a fixed, aperiodic and critical offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton--Watson processes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne

We examine the population growth system called Q-processes. This is defined by the Galton-Watson Branching system conditioned on non-extinction of its trajectory in the remote future. In this paper we observe the total progeny up to time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Azam A. Imomov , Zuhriddin A. Nazarov

Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

We consider the set of random Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees with a bounded number of offspring and bounded number of generations as a statistical mechanics model: a random tree is a rooted subtree of the maximal tree; the spin at a given…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Francois Dunlop , Arif Mardin

We consider a subcritical Galton--Watson tree conditioned on having $n$ vertices with outdegree in a fixed set $\Omega$. Under mild regularity assumptions we prove various limits related to the maximal offspring of a vertex as $n$ tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Benedikt Stufler

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

We consider a special class of Galton-Watson theta-processes in a varying environment fully defined by four parameters, with two of them $(\theta,r)$ being fixed over time $n$, and the other two $(a_n,c_n)$ characterizing the altering…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Serik Sagitov , Yerakhmet Zhumayev

Recent progress in the study of the contact process [2] has verified that the extinction-survival threshold $\lambda_1$ on a Galton-Watson tree is strictly positive if and only if the offspring distribution $\xi$ has an exponential tail. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly