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This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

The quotient of random variables with normal distributions is examined and proven to have have power law decay, with density $f\left( x\right) \simeq f_{0}x^{-2}$, with the coefficient depending on the means and variances of the numerator…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

In this paper we introduce the notion of fractional martingale as the fractional derivative of order $\alpha$ of a continuous local martingale, where $\alpha\in(-{1/2},{1/2})$, and we show that it has a nonzero finite variation of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Jian Song

In retrospect, the experimental findings on competitive market behavior called for a revival of the old, classical, view of competition as a collective higgling and bargaining process (as opposed to price-taking behaviors) founded on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-04 Sabiou Inoua , Vernon Smith

It is well known that the distribution of returns from various financial instruments are leptokurtic, meaning that the distributions have "fatter tails" than a Normal distribution, and have skew toward zero. This paper presents a graceful…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-03 Ben Klemens

We present extensive evidence that ``risk premium'' is strongly correlated with tail-risk skewness but very little with volatility. We introduce a new, intuitive definition of skewness and elicit an approximately linear relation between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Y. Lempérière , C. Deremble , T. T. Nguyen , P. Seager , M. Potters , J. P. Bouchaud

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

A dynamical model based on a continuous addition of colored shot noises is presented. The resulting process is colored and non-Gaussian. A general expression for the characteristic function of the process is obtained, which, after a scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Alan McKane

This paper aims to provide a simple modelling of speculative bubbles and derive some quantitative properties of its dynamical evolution. Starting from a description of individual speculative behaviours, we build and study a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Sébastien Gadat , Laurent Miclo , Fabien Panloup

We provide explicit small-time formulae for the at-the-money implied volatility, skew and curvature in a large class of models, including rough volatility models and their multi-factor versions. Our general setup encompasses both European…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-15 Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza , Alexandre Pannier

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

The aim of this work is to introduce a new stochastic volatility model for equity derivatives. To overcome some of the well-known problems of the Heston model, and more generally of the affine models, we define a new specification for the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-19 José Da Fonseca , Claude Martini

Density expansions for hypoelliptic diffusions $(X^1,...,X^d)$ are revisited. In particular, we are interested in density expansions of the projection $(X_T^1,...,X_T^l)$, at time $T>0$, with $l \leq d$. Global conditions are found which…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-30 J. D. Deuschel , P. K. Friz , A. Jacquier , S. Violante

Option pricing formulas are derived from a non-Gaussian model of stock returns. Fluctuations are assumed to evolve according to a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation which maximizes the Tsallis nonextensive entropy of index $q$. A generalized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Lisa Borland

Given the univariate marginals of a real-valued, continuous-time martingale, (respectively, a family of measures parameterised by $t \in [0,T]$ which is increasing in convex order, or a double continuum of call prices) we construct a family…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 David Hobson

We consider an interest rate model with log-normally distributed rates in the terminal measure in discrete time. Such models are used in financial practice as parametric versions of the Markov functional model, or as approximations to the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-30 Dan Pirjol

Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 M. I. Krivoruchenko , E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , L. J. Streckert

We quantify the asymptotic behaviour of multidimensional drifltess diffusions in domains unbounded in a single direction, with asymptotically normal reflections from the boundary. We identify the critical growth/contraction rates of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew Wade

Explicit density expansions of non-equilibrium probability distribution functions for molecular Brownian particle in ideal gas are obtained in original form what visually implies (is exact solution to) the previously established dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-26 Yu. E. Kuzovlev

Volatility estimation based on high-frequency data is key to accurately measure and control the risk of financial assets. A L\'{e}vy process with infinite jump activity and microstructure noise is considered one of the simplest, yet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Qi Wang , José E. Figueroa-López , Todd Kuffner