English
Related papers

Related papers: Human Decision-Making under Limited Time

200 papers

In normative models a decision-maker is usually assumed to be Bayesian rational, and so to maximize subjective expected utility, within a complete and correctly specified decision model. Following the discussion in Hammond (2007) of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 Peter J. Hammond

When inferring the goals that others are trying to achieve, people intuitively understand that others might make mistakes along the way. This is crucial for activities such as teaching, offering assistance, and deciding between blame or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Arwa Alanqary , Gloria Z. Lin , Joie Le , Tan Zhi-Xuan , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

Bounded rational decision-makers transform sensory input into motor output under limited computational resources. Mathematically, such decision-makers can be modeled as information-theoretic channels with limited transmission rate. Here, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Felix Leibfried , Daniel Alexander Braun

In an information-rich world, people's time and attention must be divided among rapidly changing information sources and the diverse tasks demanded of them. How people decide which of the many sources, such as scientific articles or…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Kristina Lerman , Nathan Hodas , Hao Wu

One way to make decisions under uncertainty is to select an optimal option from a possible range of options, by maximizing the expected utilities derived from a probability model. However, under severe uncertainty, identifying precise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Nawapon Nakharutai , Sébastien Destercke , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

Rationality is frequently associated with making the best possible decisions. It's widely acknowledged that humans, as rational beings, have limitations in their decision-making capabilities. Nevertheless, recent advancements in fields,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Dibakar Das

Snapshots of "best" (or "worst") experience are known to dominate human memory and may thus also have a significant effect on future behaviour. We consider here a model of repeated decision-making where, at every time step, an agent takes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Evangelos Mitsokapas , Rosemary J. Harris

Perfectly rational decision-makers maximize expected utility, but crucially ignore the resource costs incurred when determining optimal actions. Here we employ an axiomatic framework for bounded rational decision-making based on a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-29 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

This paper builds a rule for decisionmaking from the physical behavior of single neurons, the well established neural circuitry of mutual inhibition, and the evolutionary principle of natural selection. No axioms are used in the derivation…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-21 Valdes Salvador , Gonzalo ValdesEdwards

Early theories of perception as probabilistic inference propose that uncertainty about the interpretation of sensory input is represented as a probability distribution over many interpretations -- a relatively complex representation.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 Andrew Jun Lee , Daniel Turek , Omer Daglar Tanrikulu

We discuss representing and reasoning with knowledge about the time-dependent utility of an agent's actions. Time-dependent utility plays a crucial role in the interaction between computation and action under bounded resources. We present a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Eric J. Horvitz , Geoffrey Rutledge

Conversational AI is rapidly becoming a primary interface for information seeking and decision making, yet most systems still assume idealized users. In practice, human reasoning is bounded by limited attention, uneven knowledge, and…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Jiqun Liu

There is a consensus that human and non-human subjects experience temporal distortions in many stages of their perceptual and decision-making systems. Similarly, intertemporal choice research has shown that decision-makers undervalue future…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-31 Pedro A. Ortega , Naftali Tishby

In this work, we empirically examine human-AI decision-making in the presence of explanations based on predicted outcomes. This type of explanation provides a human decision-maker with expected consequences for each decision alternative at…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Johannes Jakubik , Jakob Schöffer , Vincent Hoge , Michael Vössing , Niklas Kühl

All biological and artificial agents must learn and make decisions given limits on their ability to process information. As such, a general theory of adaptive behavior should be able to account for the complex interactions between an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-08 Dilip Arumugam , Mark K. Ho , Noah D. Goodman , Benjamin Van Roy

The theory of rational choice assumes that when people make decisions they do so in order to maximize their utility. In order to achieve this goal they ought to use all the information available and consider all the choices available to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Tshilidzi Marwala

We study consumption dependence in the context of random utility and repeated choice. We show that, in the presence of consumption dependence, the random utility model is a misspecified model of repeated rational choice. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-01 Christopher Turansick

Most studies of prosumer decision making in the smart grid have focused on single, temporally discrete decisions within the framework of expected utility theory (EUT) and behavioral theories such as prospect theory. In this work, we study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-09 Mohsen Rajabpour , Arnold Glass , Robert Mulligan , Narayan B. Mandayam

We live in a world brimming with uncertainty, where we constantly have to make a lot of decisions under incomplete information. We are firm believers that our subjective belief cannot be computed by rigorous mathematical formula; instead…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-08 Lizhi Xin , Kevin Xin , Houwen Xin

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa