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Highly accurate datasets from numerical or physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming to acquire, posing a significant challenge for applications that require precise evaluations, potentially across multiple scenarios and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Attilio Frangi , Andrea Manzoni

Many complex systems - be they financial, natural, or social - are composed of units - such as stocks, neurons, or agents - whose joint activity can be represented as a multivariate time series. An issue of both practical and theoretical…

Neural networks are powerful predictive models, but they provide little insight into the nature of relationships between predictors and outcomes. Although numerous methods have been proposed to quantify the relative contributions of input…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-30 Francesca Mandel , Ian Barnett

We demonstrate a simple strategy to cope with missing data in sequential inputs, addressing the task of multilabel classification of diagnoses given clinical time series. Collected from the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) at Children's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Zachary C. Lipton , David C. Kale , Randall Wetzel

Heuristic optimisation algorithms explore the search space by sampling solutions, evaluating their fitness, and biasing the search in the direction of promising solutions. However, in many cases, this fitness function involves executing…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Pablo S. Naharro , Pablo Toharia , Antonio LaTorre , José-María Peña

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke

Modern AI agents such as large language models are trained on diverse tasks -- translation, code generation, mathematical reasoning, and text prediction -- simultaneously. A key question is how to quantify the influence of each individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Zhenshuo Zhang , Minxuan Duan , Hongyang R. Zhang

The development of a reliable and robust surrogate model is often constrained by the dimensionality of the problem. For a system with high-dimensional inputs/outputs (I/O), conventional approaches usually use a low-dimensional manifold to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-01 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) [1] of the volatility series has been found to be useful in dentifying possible nonlinear/multifractal dynamics in the empirical sample [2-4]. Long-range volatile correlation can be an outcome of static…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Stochastic Petri Nets (SPNs) are an increasingly popular tool of choice for modeling discrete-event dynamics in areas such as epidemiology and systems biology, yet their parameter estimation remains challenging in general and in particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Bright Kwaku Manu , Trevor Reckell , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtic

A surrogate model approximates the outputs of a solver of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with a low computational cost. In this article, we propose a method to build learning-based surrogates in the context of parameterized PDEs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Alejandro Ribés , Nawfal Benchekroun , Théo Delagnes

Disordered networks of fragile elastic elements have been proposed as a model for inner porous regions of large bones [Gunaratne et.al., cond-mat/0009221]. In numerical studies, weakening of such networks is seen to be accompanied by…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gemunu H. Gunaratne

We propose an optimization algorithm to improve the design and performance of quantum communication networks. When physical architectures become too complex for analytical methods, numerical simulation becomes essential to study quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-21 Luise Prielinger , Álvaro G. Iñesta , Gayane Vardoyan

Temporal networks are commonly used to represent dynamical complex systems like social networks, simultaneous firing of neurons, human mobility or public transportation. Their dynamics may evolve on multiple time scales characterising for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Elsa Andres , Alain Barrat , Márton Karsai

Among attempts at giving a theoretical account of the success of deep neural networks, a recent line of work has identified a so-called lazy training regime in which the network can be well approximated by its linearization around…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Thomas George , Guillaume Lajoie , Aristide Baratin

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

Temporal surrogate models are effective for predicting chaotic dynamical systems where computational cost can be prohibitive. Several deep neural network architectures can be used for such purposes. In this work, a few commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rajarshi Biswas

We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

Interest in selection relaying is growing. The recent developments in this area have largely focused on information theoretic analyses such as outage performance. Some of these analyses are accurate only at high SNR regimes. In this paper…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Abdulkareem Adinoyi , Yijia Fan , Halim Yanikomeroglu , H. Vincent Poor