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We revisit the famous Mack's model which gives an estimate for the conditional mean squared error of prediction of the chain-ladder claims reserves. We introduce a stochastic differential equation driven by a Brownian motion to model the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Nicolas Baradel

Despite their deterministic nature, dynamical systems often exhibit seemingly random behaviour. Consequently, a dynamical system is usually represented by a probabilistic model of which the unknown parameters must be estimated using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Kasun Fernando , Nan Zou

The wild bootstrap is a popular resampling method in the context of time-to-event data analyses. Previous works established the large sample properties of it for applications to different estimators and test statistics. It can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Marina T. Dietrich , Dennis Dobler , Mathisca C. M. de Gunst

In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

This paper addresses the fundamental task of estimating covariance matrix functions for high-dimensional functional data/functional time series. We consider two functional factor structures encompassing either functional factors with scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang

An efficient Path Integral Monte Carlo procedure is proposed to simulate the behavior of quantum many-body dissipative systems described within the framework of the influence functional. Thermodynamic observables are obtained by Monte Carlo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Luca Capriotti , Alessandro Cuccoli , Andrea Fubini , Valerio Tognetti , Ruggero Vaia

Robust design has been widely recognized as a leading method in reducing variability and improving quality. Most of the engineering statistics literature mainly focuses on finding "point estimates" of the optimum operating conditions for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-14 Chanseok Park

The process generates substantial amounts of data with highly complex structures, leading to the development of numerous nonlinear statistical methods. However, most of these methods rely on computations involving large-scale dense kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Ke Chen , Dandan Jiang

Statistics derived from the eigenvalues of sample covariance matrices are called spectral statistics, and they play a central role in multivariate testing. Although bootstrap methods are an established approach to approximating the laws of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-21 Miles Lopes , Andrew Blandino , Alexander Aue

We introduce a novel class of non-stationary covariance functions for random fields on linear networks that allows both the variance and the correlation range of the random field to vary spatially. The proposed covariance functions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Alfredo Alegría

The problem of constructing a simultaneous confidence surface for the 2-dimensional mean function of a non-stationary functional time series is challenging as these bands can not be built on classical limit theory for the maximum absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Rapid developments in satellite remote-sensing technology have enabled the collection of geospatial data on a global scale, hence increasing the need for covariance functions that can capture spatial dependence on spherical domains. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Jian Cao , Jingjie Zhang , Zhuoer Sun , Matthias Katzfuss

This paper introduces the novel class of modulated cyclostationary processes, a class of non-stationary processes exhibiting frequency coupling, and proposes a method of their estimation from repeated trials. Cyclostationary processes also…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-25 Sofia C. Olhede , Hernando Ombao

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

This paper studies the impact of bootstrap procedure on the eigenvalue distributions of the sample covariance matrix under a high-dimensional factor structure. We provide asymptotic distributions for the top eigenvalues of bootstrapped…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Long Yu , Peng Zhao , Wang Zhou

In this paper, we employ the bootstrap method, a technique that relies on consistency relations instead of direct diagonalization, to determine the expectation values in quantum many-body systems. We then use these values to assess the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-23 Jiaju Zhang , Arash Jafarizadeh , M. A. Rajabpour

This work introduces a novel block bootstrap method for time series with multiple periodically correlated (MPC) components called the Variable Multiple Bandpass Periodic Block Bootstrap (VMBPBB). While past methodological advancements…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Edward Valachovic

In this paper we extend the known methodology for fitting stable distributions to the multivariate case and apply the suggested method to the modelling of daily cryptocurrency-return data. The investigated time period is cut into 10…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-24 Szabolcs Majoros , András Zempléni

The bootstrap is a versatile inference method that has proven powerful in many statistical problems. However, when applied to modern large-scale models, it could face substantial computation demand from repeated data resampling and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Henry Lam

In an earlier paper Rakonczai et al. (2014), we have emphasized the effective sample size for autocorrelated data. The simulations were based on the block bootstrap methodology. However, the discreteness of the usual block size did not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-02 László Varga , András Zempléni
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