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We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We consider a broad class of continuous-time two-type population size-dependent Markov Branching Processes. The offspring distribution can depend on the current (alive) and total (dead and alive) populations. Using stochastic approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Khushboo Agarwal , Veeraruna Kavitha

An individual-based model of stochastic branching is proposed and studied, in which point particles drift in $\bar{\mathds{R}}_{+}:=[0,+\infty)$ towards the origin (edge) with unit speed, where each of them splits into two particles that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Yuri Kozitsky

Recursions for moments of multi-type continuous state and continuous time branching process with immigration are derived. It turns out that the $k$-th (mixed) moments and the $k$-th (mixed) central moments are polynomials of the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Matyas Barczy , Zenghu Li , Gyula Pap

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of particular outcomes out of a set of mutually-exclusive possibilities for stochastic processes and play a central role in first-passage problems. For two-dimensional Markov processes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-08-12 Emir Sezik , Jacob Knight , Henry Alston , Connor Roberts , Thibault Bertrand , Gunnar Pruessner , Luca Cocconi

We study the class of continuous polynomial Volterra processes, which we define as solutions to stochastic Volterra equations driven by a continuous semimartingale with affine drift and quadratic diffusion matrix in the state of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Christa Cuchiero , Luca Pelizzari , Sergio Pulido , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

A wide range of stochastic processes that model the growth and decline of populations exhibit a curious dichotomy: with certainty either the population goes extinct or its size tends to infinity. There is a elegant and classical theorem…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-17 Mike Steel

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ be a branching process in a random environment defined by a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=i \in\mathbb X$. We extend from the i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Emile Le Page

We consider continuous space-time decay-surge population models which are semi- stochastic processes for which deterministically declining populations, bound to fade away, are rein- vigorated at random times by bursts or surges of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

We provide probabilistic interpretation of resonant states. This we do by showing that the integral of the modulus square of resonance wave functions (i.e., the conventional norm) over a properly expanding spatial domain is independent of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-11-02 Naomichi Hatano , Tatsuro Kawamoto , Joshua Feinberg

Conditions for almost sure extinction are studied in discrete time branching processes with an infinite number of types. It is not assumed that the expected number of children is a bounded function of the parent's type. There might also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. T. Tetzlaff

We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ in a random non homogeneous environment. Particles can walk on the lattice points or disappear with random intensities. The process starts with one particle at initial time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Vladimir Kutsenko , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Yarovaya

We study by duality methods the extinction and explosion times of continuous-state branching processes with logistic competition (LCSBPs) and identify the local time at $\infty$ of the process when it is instantaneously reflected at…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Clément Foucart

Random-cluster measures on infinite regular trees are studied in conjunction with a general type of `boundary condition', namely an equivalence relation on the set of infinite paths of the tree. The uniqueness and non-uniqueness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Geoffrey Grimmett , Svante Janson

We consider excursions for a class of stochastic processes describing a population of discrete individuals experiencing density-limited growth, such that the population has a finite carrying capacity and behaves qualitatively like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-10 Todd L. Parsons

We consider multitype Markovian branching processes evolving in a Markovian random environment. To determine whether or not the branching process becomes extinct almost surely is akin to computing the maximal Lyapunov exponent of a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche

We present an explicit construction of a Markovian random growth process on integer partitions such that given it visits some level $n$, it passes through any partition $\lambda$ of $n$ with equal probabilities. The construction has…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yuri Yakubovich

We consider one-dimensional branching Brownian motion in which particles are absorbed at the origin. We assume that when a particle branches, the offspring distribution is supercritical, but the particles are given a critical drift towards…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Pascal Maillard , Jason Schweinsberg

The work continues the author's many-year research in theory of maximal branching processes, which are obtained from classical branching processes by replacing the summation of descendant numbers with taking the maximum. One can say that in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Alexey V. Lebedev