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We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

This work introduces a variant of resolvent analysis that identifies forcing and response modes that are sparse in both space and time. This is achieved through the use of a sparse principal component analysis (PCA) algorithm, which…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-07 Barbara Lopez-Doriga , Eric Ballouz , H. Jane Bae , Scott T. M. Dawson

This paper introduces a novel sparse latent factor modeling framework using sparse asymptotic Principal Component Analysis (APCA) to analyze the co-movements of high-dimensional panel data over time. Unlike existing methods based on sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Zhaoxing Gao

Graph-based surrogate models provide fast alternatives to high-fidelity CFD solvers, but their opaque latent spaces and limited controllability restrict use in safety-critical settings. A key failure mode in oscillatory flows is phase…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Yeping Hu , Ruben Glatt , Shusen Liu

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

A stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach is presented for discrete-time linear systems with arbitrary time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties and additive Gaussian process noise. Closed-loop stability of the SMPC approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Joel A. Paulson , Stefan Streif , Ali Mesbah

An approach to obtaining a parsimonious polynomial model from time series is proposed. An optimal minimal nonuniform time series embedding schema is used to obtain a time delay kernel. This scheme recursively optimizes an objective…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-05-13 Chetan Nichkawde

In numerous applications, surrogate models are used as a replacement for accurate parameter-to-observable mappings when solving large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The surrogate model may be a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Radoslav Vuchkov , Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra

Numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations over long time intervals poses significant computational challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel recursive polynomial chaos evolution method that achieves model reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Guillaume Bal , Shengbo Ma , Su Zhang , Zhiwen Zhang

Sparse Principal Component Analysis (sPCA) is a cardinal technique for obtaining combinations of features, or principal components (PCs), that explain the variance of high-dimensional datasets in an interpretable manner. This involves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Ryan Cory-Wright , Jean Pauphilet

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are fundamental for modeling stochastic dynamics across the natural sciences and modern machine learning. Learning their solution operators with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Dai Shi , Lequan Lin , Andi Han , Luke Thompson , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zhiyong Wang , Junbin Gao

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

This paper presents an approach for the modelling of dependent random variables using generalised polynomial chaos. This allows to write chance-constrained optimization problems with respect to a joint distribution modelling dependencies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Nicola Ramseyer , Matthieu Jacobs , Mario Paolone

We give an efficient algorithm for finding sparse approximate solutions to linear systems of equations with nonnegative coefficients. Unlike most known results for sparse recovery, we do not require {\em any} assumption on the matrix other…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-01-09 Aditya Bhaskara , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Morteza Zadimoghaddam

Modeling non-linear temporal trajectories is of fundamental interest in many application areas, such as in longitudinal microbiome analysis. Many existing methods focus on estimating mean trajectories, but it is also often of value to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Lingjing Jiang , Yuan Zhong , Chris Elrod , Loki Natarajan , Rob Knight , Wesley K. Thompson

Sparse coding aims to model data vectors as sparse linear combinations of basis elements, but a majority of related studies are restricted to continuous data without spatial or temporal structure. A new model-based sparse coding (MSC)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Xin Xing , Rui Xie , Wenxuan Zhong

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

For a large class of orthogonal basis functions, there has been a recent identification of expansion methods for computing accurate, stable approximations of a quantity of interest. This paper presents, within the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-13 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan
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