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Quantum parameter estimation has many applications, from gravitational wave detection to quantum key distribution. We present the first experimental demonstration of the time-symmetric technique of quantum smoothing. We consider both…

A body of recent work has focused on constructing a variational family of filtered distributions using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC). Inspired by this work, we introduce Particle Smoothing Variational Objectives (SVO), a novel backward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-24 Antonio Khalil Moretti , Zizhao Wang , Luhuan Wu , Iddo Drori , Itsik Pe'er

We initiate the study of smoothed analysis for the sequential probability assignment problem with contexts. We study information-theoretically optimal minmax rates as well as a framework for algorithmic reduction involving the maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Alankrita Bhatt , Nika Haghtalab , Abhishek Shetty

In this paper, we study a class of stochastic optimization problems, referred to as the \emph{Conditional Stochastic Optimization} (CSO), in the form of $\min_{x \in \mathcal{X}} \EE_{\xi}f_\xi\Big({\EE_{\eta|\xi}[g_\eta(x,\xi)]}\Big)$,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Yifan Hu , Xin Chen , Niao He

In this paper we present a generic framework for the asymptotic performance analysis of subspace-based parameter estimation schemes. It is based on earlier results on an explicit first-order expansion of the estimation error in the signal…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-09-17 Florian Roemer , Martin Haardt

As a concrete setting where stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are able to model real phenomena, we propose a stochastic Meinhardt model for cell repolarisation and study how parameter estimation techniques developed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Randolf Altmeyer , Till Bretschneider , Josef Janák , Markus Reiß

Evaluation in scientific reconstruction is dominated by pointwise metrics - RMSE, MAE, per-event resolution - under the implicit assumption that lower error means better reconstruction. We show that this assumption fails structurally for…

Suppose that we wish to estimate a finite-dimensional summary of one or more function-valued features of an underlying data-generating mechanism under a nonparametric model. One approach to estimation is by plugging in flexible estimates of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-28 Hongxiang Qiu , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone

The most important aspect of any classifier is its error rate, because this quantifies its predictive capacity. Thus, the accuracy of error estimation is critical. Error estimation is problematic in small-sample classifier design because…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-13 Amin Zollanvari , Edward R. Dougherty

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

This paper investigates the minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimation of x, given the observation y = Hx+n, when x and n are independent and Gaussian Mixture (GM) distributed. The introduction of GM distributions, represents a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-18 John T. Flam , Saikat Chatterjee , Kimmo Kansanen , Torbjorn Ekman

This paper develops a semi-parametric procedure for estimation of unconditional quantile partial effects using quantile regression coefficients. The estimator is based on an identification result showing that, for continuous covariates,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-02 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

The two-stage least-squares (2SLS) estimator is known to be biased when its first-stage fit is poor. I show that better first-stage prediction can alleviate this bias. In a two-stage linear regression model with Normal noise, I consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

We investigate schemes for Hamiltonian parameter estimation of a two-level system using repeated measurements in a fixed basis. The simplest (Fourier based) schemes yield an estimate with a mean square error (MSE) that decreases at best as…

The paper considers functional linear regression, where scalar responses $Y_1,...,Y_n$ are modeled in dependence of random functions $X_1,...,X_n$. We propose a smoothing splines estimator for the functional slope parameter based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-26 Christophe Crambes , Alois Kneip , Pascal Sarda

Probabilistic values, including Shapley values and semivalues, provide a model-agnostic framework to attribute the behavior of a black-box model to data points or features, with a wide range of applications including explainable artificial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Ziqi Liu , Kiljae Lee , Yuan Zhang , Weijing Tang

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

Quantile regression is a powerful tool capable of offering a richer view of the data as compared to least-squares regression. Quantile regression is typically performed individually on a few quantiles or a grid of quantiles without…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li , Nimrod Megiddo

This paper studies estimation in functional linear quantile regression in which the dependent variable is scalar while the covariate is a function, and the conditional quantile for each fixed quantile index is modeled as a linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kengo Kato
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