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We develop several statistical tests of the determinant of the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation, based on discrete observations on a time interval $[0,T]$ sampled with a time step $\Delta$. Our main contribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Anna Melnykova , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Adeline Samson

This paper considers the problem of designing time-dependent, real-time control policies for controllable nonlinear diffusion processes, with the goal of obtaining maximally-informative observations about parameters of interest. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Giles Hooker , Kevin K. Lin , Bruce Rogers

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this article we consider the filtering problem associated to partially observed diffusions, with observations following a marked point process. In the model, the data form a point process with observation times that have its intensity…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-17 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Nonlinear time fractional partial differential equations are widely used in modeling and simulations. In many applications, there are high contrast changes in media properties. For solving these problems, one often uses coarse spatial grid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Wenyuan Li , Anatoly Alikhanov , Yalchin Efendiev , Wing Tat Leung

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

This paper presents a data-integrated framework for learning the dynamics of fractional-order nonlinear systems in both discrete-time and continuous-time settings. The proposed framework consists of two main steps. In the first step,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-19 Bahram Yaghooti , Chengyu Li , Bruno Sinopoli

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

In this work, we investigate the recovery of a parameter in a diffusion process given by the order of derivation in time for a class of diffusion type equations, including both classical and time-fractional diffusion equations, from the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Bangti Jin , Yavar Kian

Hypoelliptic diffusion processes can be used to model a variety of phenomena in applications ranging from molecular dynamics to audio signal analysis. We study parameter estimation for such processes in situations where we observe some…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-30 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , P. Wiberg

Fractional Fokker-Planck equation plays an important role in describing anomalous dynamics. To the best of our knowledge, the existing discussions mainly focus on this kind of equation involving one diffusion operator. In this paper, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Jing Sun , Weihua Deng , Daxin Nie

Despite the remarkable progress in generative modelling, current diffusion models lack a quantitative approach to assess image quality. To address this limitation, we propose to estimate the pixel-wise aleatoric uncertainty during the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Michele De Vita , Vasileios Belagiannis

This paper is the first part of a series of papers on filtering for partially observed jump diffusions satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures. The coefficients of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

We propose a nonparametric estimation for a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDE) with random effects. We precisely consider general linear fractional stochastic differential equations with drift depending on random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 M. El Omari , H. El Maroufy , C. Fuchs

The most common way of estimating the anomalous diffusion exponent from single-particle trajectories consists in a linear fitting of the dependence of the time averaged mean square displacement on the lag time at the log-log scale. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-01-02 Yann Lanoiselée , Denis S. Grebenkov , Grzegorz Sikora , Aleksandra Grzesiek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

This paper deals with the problem of inference associated with linear fractional diffusion process with random effects in the drift. In particular we are concerned with the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the random effect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-04 El Omari Mohamed , Hamid El Maroufy , Christiane Fuchs

In this paper, we consider the problem of optimizing the worst-case behavior of a partially observed system. All uncontrolled disturbances are modeled as finite-valued uncertain variables. Using the theory of cost distributions, we present…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Aditya Dave , Nishanth Venkatesh , Andreas A. Malikopoulos