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We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

This paper derives an objective Bayesian "prior" based on considerations of entropy/information. By this means, it produces a quantitative measure of goodness of fit (the "H-statistic") that balances higher likelihood against the number of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Rafael D. Sorkin

Inference and decision making under uncertainty are key processes in every autonomous system and numerous robotic problems. In recent years, the similarities between inference and decision making triggered much work, from developing unified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Elad I. Farhi , Vadim Indelman

Dose-finding clinical trials in oncology aim to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a new drug, generally defined by the proportion of patients with short-term dose-limiting toxicities (DLTs). Model-based approaches for such phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Moreno Ursino , Lucie Biard , Sylvie Chevret

We introduce Bayesian least-squares policy iteration (BLSPI), an off-policy, model-free, policy iteration algorithm that uses the Bayesian least-squares temporal-difference (BLSTD) learning algorithm to evaluate policies. An online variant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Nikolaos Tziortziotis , Christos Dimitrakakis , Michalis Vazirgiannis

I define a natural measure of the complexity of a parametric distribution relative to a given true distribution called the {\it razor} of a model family. The Minimum Description Length principle (MDL) and Bayesian inference are shown to…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Vijay Balasubramanian

Phase 1-2 designs provide a methodological advance over phase 1 designs for dose finding by using both clinical response and toxicity. A phase 1-2 trial still may fail to select a truly optimal dose. because early response is not a perfect…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-03 Cheng-Han Yang , Peter F. Thall , Ruitao Lin

Diffusion Policies have demonstrated impressive performance in robotic manipulation tasks. However, their long inference time, resulting from an extensive iterative denoising process, and the need to execute an action chunk before the next…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Yufei Duan , Hang Yin , Danica Kragic

Bayesian optimization has been proposed as a practical and efficient tool through which to tune parameters in many difficult settings. Recently, such techniques have been combined with real-time fMRI to propose a novel framework which turns…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-10 Romy Lorenz , Ricardo P Monti , Ines R Violante , Aldo A Faisal , Christoforos Anagnostopoulos , Robert Leech , Giovanni Montana

Mild Traumatic Brain Injury (mTBI) is a significant public health problem. The most troubling symptoms after mTBI are cognitive complaints. Studies show measurable differences between patients with mTBI and healthy controls with respect to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 Tongda Xu , Xiyan Cai , Yao Wang , Xiuyuan Wang , Sohae Chung , Els Fieremans , Joseph Rath , Steven Flanagan , Yvonne W Lui

We consider black-box global optimization of time-consuming-to-evaluate functions on behalf of a decision-maker (DM) whose preferences must be learned. Each feasible design is associated with a time-consuming-to-evaluate vector of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

Optical tweezers constitute pivotal tools in Atomic, Molecular, and Optical(AMO) physics, facilitating precise trapping and manipulation of individual atoms and molecules. This process affords the capability to generate desired geometries…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2024-01-11 Yongwoong Lee , Eunmi Chae

Active search is a learning paradigm for actively identifying as many members of a given class as possible. A critical target scenario is high-throughput screening for scientific discovery, such as drug or materials discovery. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Shali Jiang , Gustavo Malkomes , Benjamin Moseley , Roman Garnett

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

An accurately identified maximum tolerated dose (MTD) serves as the cornerstone of successful subsequent phases in oncology drug development. Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a popular and versatile model-based dose-finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Hongtao Zhang , Alan Y Chiang , Jixian Wang

In trajectory optimization, Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control is a sampling-based Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework that generates optimal inputs by efficiently simulating numerous trajectories. In practice, however, MPPI…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-21 Fanxin Wang , Yikun Cheng , Chuyuan Tao

We consider the effects of parameter uncertainty on the optimal radiation schedule in the context of the linear-quadratic model. Our interest arises from the observation that if inter-patient variations in OAR and tumor sensitivities to…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Hamidreza Badri , Yoichi Watanabe , Kevin Leder

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

A new class of stochastic processes called independent and periodically identically distributed (i.p.i.d.) processes is defined to capture periodically varying statistical behavior. A novel Bayesian theory is developed for detecting a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-04-09 Taposh Banerjee , Prudhvi Gurram , Gene Whipps

In fields such as medicine and social sciences, the goal of treatment is often to maintain the outcome of interest within a desirable range rather than to optimize its value. To achieve this, it may be more practical to recommend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Chan Park , Guanhua Chen , Menggang Yu
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