English
Related papers

Related papers: A Bayesian Risk Approach to Data-driven Stochastic…

200 papers

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We study decision problems under uncertainty, where the decision-maker has access to $K$ data sources that carry {\em biased} information about the underlying risk factors. The biases are measured by the mismatch between the risk factor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Yves Rychener , Adrian Esteban-Perez , Juan M. Morales , Daniel Kuhn

In many operational settings, decision-makers must commit to actions before uncertainty resolves, but existing optimization tools rarely quantify how consistently a chosen decision remains optimal across plausible scenarios. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-18 Wenbin Zhou , Agni Orfanoudaki , Shixiang Zhu

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Two-stage risk-averse distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems are ubiquitous across many engineering and business applications. Despite their promising resilience, two-stage DRO problems are generally computationally…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Yue Lin , Daniel Zhuoyu Long , Viet Anh Nguyen , Jin Qi

We consider a residuals-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model, where the underlying uncertainty depends on both covariate information and our decisions. We adopt both parametric and nonparametric regression models to learn…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Qing Zhu , Xian Yu , Guzin Bayraksan

We propose a flexible scenario-based regularized Sample Average Approximation (SBR-SAA) framework for stochastic optimization. This work is motivated by challenges in standard Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization (WDRO), where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Diego Fonseca , Mauricio Junca

We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with uncertainty sets consisting of high-dimensional random vectors that are close in the multivariate Wasserstein distance to a reference random vector. We give conditions when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Brandon Tam , Silvana M. Pesenti

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides a framework for training machine learning models that are able to perform well on a collection of related data distributions (the "uncertainty set"). This is done by solving a min-max…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

We consider the problem of distributionally robust multimodal machine learning. Existing approaches often rely on merging modalities on the feature level (early fusion) or heuristic uncertainty modeling, which downplays modality-aware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Peilin Yang , Yu Ma

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging as the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs on the model's parameters. However, minimising the expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

This article focuses on a class of distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems where, unlike the growing body of the literature, the objective function is potentially nonlinear in the distribution. Existing methods to optimize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-07 Mohammed Rayyan Sheriff , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We consider optimization problems with uncertain constraints that need to be satisfied probabilistically. When data are available, a common method to obtain feasible solutions for such problems is to impose sampled constraints, following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li

This monograph develops a comprehensive statistical learning framework that is robust to (distributional) perturbations in the data using Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) under the Wasserstein metric. Beginning with fundamental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-23 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Adjustable hyperparameters of machine learning models typically impact various key trade-offs such as accuracy, fairness, robustness, or inference cost. Our goal in this paper is to find a configuration that adheres to user-specified limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Bracha Laufer-Goldshtein , Adam Fisch , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) is a worst-case approach to decision making when there is model uncertainty. It is also well known that for certain uncertainty sets, DRO is approximated by a regularized nominal problem. We show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Jun-ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim

A novel data-driven stochastic robust optimization (DDSRO) framework is proposed for optimization under uncertainty leveraging labeled multi-class uncertainty data. Uncertainty data in large datasets are often collected from various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Chao Ning , Fengqi You

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) can improve the robustness and fairness of learning methods. In this paper, we devise stochastic algorithms for a class of DRO problems including group DRO, subpopulation fairness, and empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Tasuku Soma , Khashayar Gatmiry , Sharut Gupta , Stefanie Jegelka

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient method and has been widely used for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Recently, there has been a considerable interest in BO literature in optimizing functions that are affected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Xiaobin Huang , Lei Song , Ke Xue , Chao Qian

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular method for efficiently inferring optima of an expensive black-box function via a sequence of queries. Existing information-theoretic BO procedures aim to make queries that most reduce the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-05 Willie Neiswanger , Lantao Yu , Shengjia Zhao , Chenlin Meng , Stefano Ermon