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A new strategy based on numerical homogenization and Bayesian techniques for solving multiscale inverse problems is introduced. We consider a class of elliptic problems which vary at a microscopic scale, and we aim at recovering the highly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Assyr Abdulle , Andrea Di Blasio

The present paper is motivated by one of the most fundamental challenges in inverse problems, that of quantifying model discrepancies and errors. While significant strides have been made in calibrating model parameters, the overwhelming…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-08 Lukas Bruder , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

We develop a new method for frequentist multiple testing with Bayesian prior information. Our procedure finds a new set of optimal p-value weights called the Bayes weights. Prior information is relevant to many multiple testing problems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Edgar Dobriban , Kristen Fortney , Stuart K. Kim , Art B. Owen

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan

This work is concerned with nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing in the context of nonlinear inverse problems with random observations. Bayesian posterior distributions based upon a Gaussian process prior distribution are proven to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Remo Kretschmann , Han Cheng Lie

This work has been motivated by the challenge of the 2017 conference on Extreme-Value Analysis (EVA2017), with the goal of predicting daily precipitation quantiles at the $99.8\%$ level for each month at observed and unobserved locations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Thomas Opitz , Raphaël Huser , Haakon Bakka , Håvard Rue

In this paper, we study the learning rate of generalized Bayes estimators in a general setting where the hypothesis class can be uncountable and have an irregular shape, the loss function can have heavy tails, and the optimal hypothesis may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Lam Si Tung Ho , Binh T. Nguyen , Vu Dinh , Duy Nguyen

In this paper, we provide novel optimal (or near optimal) convergence rates for a clipped version of the stochastic subgradient method. We consider nonsmooth convex problems over possibly unbounded domains, under heavy-tailed noise that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-21 Daniela Angela Parletta , Andrea Paudice , Saverio Salzo

This paper addresses the issue of inversion in cases where (1) the observation system is modeled by a linear transformation and additive noise, (2) the problem is ill-posed and regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework by an a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jean-François Giovannelli

Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Bayesian solution of an inverse problem for indirect measurement $M = AU + {\mathcal{E}}$ is considered, where $U$ is a function on a domain of $R^d$. Here $A$ is a smoothing linear operator and $ {\mathcal{E}}$ is Gaussian white noise. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Matti Lassas. Eero Saksman , Samuli Siltanen

In this article the relation between the tail behaviours of a free regular infinitely divisible (positively supported) probability measure and its L\'evy measure is studied. An important example of such a measure is the compound free…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Arijit Chakrabarty , Sukrit Chakraborty , Rajat Subhra Hazra

By now Bayesian methods are routinely used in practice for solving inverse problems. In inverse problems the parameter or signal of interest is observed only indirectly, as an image of a given map, and the observations are typically further…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Thibault Randrianarisoa , Botond Szabo

We consider inverse problems in Hilbert spaces under correlated Gaussian noise and use a Bayesian approach to find their regularised solution. We focus on mildly ill-posed inverse problems with the noise being generalised derivative of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Natalia Bochkina , Jenovah Rodrigues

In this work, a method for obtaining pixel-wise error bounds in Bayesian regularization of inverse imaging problems is introduced. The proposed method employs estimates of the posterior variance together with techniques from conformal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Dominik Narnhofer , Andreas Habring , Martin Holler , Thomas Pock

This paper considers a Bayesian approach for inclusion detection in nonlinear inverse problems using two known and popular push-forward prior distributions: the star-shaped and level set prior distributions. We analyze the convergence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Babak Maboudi Afkham , Kim Knudsen , Aksel Kaastrup Rasmussen , Tanja Tarvainen

This study investigates the variational posterior convergence rates of inverse problems for partial differential equations (PDEs) with parameters in Besov spaces $B_{pp}^\alpha$ ($p \geq 1$) which are modeled naturally in a Bayesian manner…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Shaokang Zu , Junxiong Jia , Zhiguo Wang

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-11 Günter Last

A major issue of extreme value analysis is the determination of the shape parameter $\xi$ common to Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) and Generalized Pareto (GP) distributions, which drives the tail behavior, and is of major impact on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Nicolas Bousquet , Merlin Keller