English
Related papers

Related papers: Sea-level projections representing deeply uncertai…

200 papers

Accurate estimates of historical changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and their uncertainties are important for documenting and understanding historical changes in climate. A source of uncertainty that has not previously been…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-15 Chenguang Dai , Duo Chan , Peter Huybers , Natesh Pillai

Sea surface height observations provided by satellite altimetry since 1993 show a rising rate (3.4 mm/year) for global mean sea level. While on average, sea level has risen 10 cm over the last 30 years, there is considerable regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

Variation of Arctic sea ice has significant impacts on polar ecosystems, transporting routes, coastal communities, and global climate. Tracing the change of sea ice at a finer scale is paramount for both operational applications and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Jingyi Xu , Siwei Tu , Weidong Yang , Shuhao Li , Keyi Liu , Yeqi Luo , Lipeng Ma , Ben Fei , Lei Bai

Projections of future climate change rely heavily on climate models, and combining climate models through a multi-model ensemble is both more accurate than a single climate model and valuable for uncertainty quantification. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-27 Huang Huang , Dorit Hammerling , Bo Li , Richard Smith

As climate extreme and disaster events become more frequent and intense, Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) has emerged as a transformative approach for large-scale disaster mapping and risk reduction. However, the purely…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Hao Li , Steffen Knoblauch

Seismic full waveform inversion (FWI) is a powerful technique to generate high resolution images of the Earth's interior. However, significant uncertainty exists in all FWI solutions due to imperfect acquisition geometries, inherent noise…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

The computational cost of dynamical downscaling limits ensemble sizes in regional downscaling efforts. We present a newly developed generative-AI approach to greatly expand the scope of such downscaling, enabling fine-scale future changes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven C. Sherwood , Laura E. Queen , Hamish Lewis , Gab Abramowitz

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence technologies, particularly in recent years, has led to the emergence of several large parameter artificial intelligence weather forecast models. These models represent a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Fenghua Ling , Lin Ouyang , Boufeniza Redouane Larbi , Jing-Jia Luo , Tao Han , Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Bai

Small and medium-sized islands are acutely exposed to climate change and ecosystem degradation, yet the extent to which uncertainty is systematically addressed in scientific assessments of their ecosystem services remains poorly understood.…

Estimating climate effects on future ocean storm severity is plagued by large uncertainties, yet for safe design and operation of offshore structures, best possible estimates of climate effects are required given available data. We explore…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-22 Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

Estimating the effects of continuous-valued interventions from observational data is a critically important task for climate science, healthcare, and economics. Recent work focuses on designing neural network architectures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew Jesson , Alyson Douglas , Peter Manshausen , Maëlys Solal , Nicolai Meinshausen , Philip Stier , Yarin Gal , Uri Shalit

There is a lot of data about mean sea level variation from studies conducted around the globe. This data is dispersed, lacks organization along with standardization, and in most cases, it is not available online. In some instances, when it…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Mihir Odhavji , Maria Alexandra Oliveira , João Nuno Silva

Wireless communications and sensing (WCS) establish the backbone of modern information exchange and environment perception. Typical applications range from mobile networks and the Internet of Things to radar and sensor grids. Despite…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Shixiong Wang , Wei Dai , Jianyong Sun , Zongben Xu , Geoffrey Ye Li

Scientific and technological advances in numerical modelling have improved the quality of climate predictions over recent decades, but predictive skill remains limited in many aspects. Extreme events such as heat and cold waves, droughts,…

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

The sea surface elevations are generally stated as Gaussian processes in the literature. To show the inaccuracy of this statement, an empirical study of the buoys in the US coast at a random day is performed, which results in rejecting the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-05 Alicia Nieto-Reyes

Carbon offset programs are critical in the fight against climate change. One emerging threat to the long-term stability and viability of forest carbon offset projects is wildfires, which can release large amounts of carbon and limit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Tristan Ballard , Matthew Cooper , Chris Lowrie , Gopal Erinjippurath