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For numerous parameter and state estimation problems, assimilating new data as they become available can help produce accurate and fast inference of unknown quantities. While most existing algorithms for solving those kind of ill-posed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Neil K. Chada , Marco A. Iglesias , Shuai Lu , Frank Werner

This paper details how to parameterize the posterior distribution of state-space systems to generate improved optimization problems for system identification using variational inference. Three different parameterizations of the assumed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

The success of the ensemble Kalman filter has triggered a strong interest in expanding its scope beyond classical state estimation problems. In this paper, we focus on continuous-time data assimilation where the model and measurement errors…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Nikolas Nüsken , Sebastian Reich , Paul J. Rozdeba

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

We consider a two-stage procedure (TSP) for estimating an inverse regression function at a given point, where isotonic regression is used at stage one to obtain an initial estimate and a local linear approximation in the vicinity of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-17 Runlong Tang , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

The analysis of the time evolution of unstable states which are linear superposition of other, observable, states can, in principle, be carried out in two distinct, non-equivalent ways. One of the methods, usually employed for the neutral…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 Marek Nowakowski

The identification of states and parameters from noisy measurements of a dynamical system is of great practical significance and has received a lot of attention. Classically, this problem is expressed as optimization over a class of models.…

Inertial navigation systems (INS) are widely used in almost any operational environment, including aviation, marine, and land vehicles. Inertial measurements from accelerometers and gyroscopes allow the INS to estimate position, velocity,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Daniel Engelsman , Yair Stolero , Itzik Klein

This paper describes recursive algorithms for state estimation of linear dynamical systems when measurements are noisy with unknown bias and/or outliers. For situations with noisy and biased measurements, algorithms are proposed that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Krishan Mohan Nagpal

This paper deals with the state estimation of linear time-invariant systems using distributed observers with local sampled-data measurement and aperiodic communication. Each observer agent perceives partial information of the system to be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Shimin Wang , Ya-Jun Pan , Martin Guay

This paper develops the first class of algorithms that enable unbiased estimation of steady-state expectations for multidimensional reflected Brownian motion. In order to explain our ideas, we first consider the case of compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

Optimization techniques play a crucial role in estimating parameters and state information for nonlinear systems. However, some critical aspects of these problems have received little attention in previous research. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Kaushal Kumar

This paper introduces a new periodic fractional autoregressive process (PFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) to model time series of precipitation evapotranspiration. Compared with the similar model in [\emph{Water Resources…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

We describe a measurement device principle based on discrete iterations of Bayesian updating of system state probability distributions. Although purely classical by nature, these measurements are accompanied with a progressive collapse of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Tristan Benoist

We consider a coupled bistable N-particle system driven by a Brownian noise, with a strong coupling corresponding to the synchronised regime. Our aim is to obtain sharp estimates on the metastable transition times between the two stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Florent Barret , Anton Bovier , Sylvie Méléard

Bayesian linear inverse problems aim to recover an unknown signal from noisy observations, incorporating prior knowledge. This paper analyses a data-dependent method to choose the scale parameter of a Gaussian prior. The method we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Maia Tienstra , Sebastian Reich

In this paper, a concurrent learning based adaptive observer is developed for a class of second-order nonlinear time-invariant systems with uncertain dynamics. The developed technique results in simultaneous online state and parameter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

State estimation of dynamical systems is crucial for providing new decision-making and system automation information in different applications. However, the assumptions on the standard computational models for sensor measurements can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-25 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Arslan Majal , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

This paper introduces a novel recursive distributed estimation algorithm aimed at synthesizing input and state interval observers for nonlinear bounded-error discrete-time multi-agent systems. The considered systems have sensors and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-21 Mohammad Khajenejad , Scott Brown , Sonia Martinez