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The problem of nowcasting extreme weather events can be addressed by applying either numerical methods for the solution of dynamic model equations or data-driven artificial intelligence algorithms. Within this latter framework, the present…

We consider the application of machine learning to the evaluation of geothermal resource potential. A supervised learning problem is defined where maps of 10 geological and geophysical features within the state of Nevada, USA are used to…

Uncertainty quantification in Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based predictions of material properties is of immense importance for the success and reliability of AI applications in material science. While confidence intervals are commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Francesca Tavazza , Brian De Cost , Kamal Choudhary

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The petroleum industry is crucial for modern society, but the production process is complex and risky. During the production, accidents or failures, resulting from undesired production events, can cause severe environmental and economic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Yuanwei Qu , Baifan Zhou , Arild Waaler , David Cameron

Automatic event detection from time series signals has wide applications, such as abnormal event detection in video surveillance and event detection in geophysical data. Traditional detection methods detect events primarily by the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Yue Wu , Youzuo Lin , Zheng Zhou , David Chas Bolton , Ji Liu , Paul Johnson

We address the problem of predicting the occurrence of infrequent adverse events in the context of predictive maintenance. We cast the corresponding machine learning task as an imbalanced classification problem and propose a framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Stefano Coniglio , Anthony J. Dunn , Alain B. Zemkoho

This paper develops a novel method, based on hidden Markov models, to forecast earthquakes and applies the method to mainshock seismic activity in southern California and western Nevada. The forecasts are of the probability of a mainshock…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-21 Daniel W. Chambers , Jenny A. Baglivo , John E. Ebel , Alan L. Kafka

The need of real-time of monitoring and alerting systems for Space Weather hazards has grown significantly in the last two decades. One of the most important challenge for space mission operations and planning is the prediction of solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-19 Mirko Stumpo , Monica Laurenza , Simone Benella , Maria Federica Marcucci

This study advances Early Event Prediction (EEP) in healthcare through Dynamic Survival Analysis (DSA), offering a novel approach by integrating risk localization into alarm policies to enhance clinical event metrics. By adapting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Hugo Yèche , Manuel Burger , Dinara Veshchezerova , Gunnar Rätsch

We propose a physics-aware machine learning method to time-accurately predict extreme events in a turbulent flow. The method combines two radically different approaches: empirical modelling based on reservoir computing, which learns the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-24 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Intrusion detection has focused primarily on detecting cyberattacks at the event-level. Since there is such a large volume of network data and attacks are minimal, machine learning approaches have focused on improving accuracy and reducing…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Steven McElwee , James Cannady

Accurate next-day active fire forecasts can support early warning, disaster response, forest risk assessment, and downstream estimation of fire-related carbon emissions. Existing machine learning approaches to wildfire forecasting typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuchen Bai , Georgios Athanasiou , Xin Yu , Diogenis Antonopoulos , Ioannis Papoutsis , Stijn Hantson , Nuno Carvalhais

Bayesian inference applied to microseismic activity monitoring allows the accurate location of microseismic events from recorded seismograms and the estimation of the associated uncertainties. However, the forward modelling of these…

Machine learning models that aim to predict dementia onset usually follow the classification methodology ignoring the time until an event happens. This study presents an alternative, using survival analysis within the context of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Daniel Stamate , Henry Musto , Olesya Ajnakina , Daniel Stahl

We present an approach based on machine learning (ML) to distinguish eruption and precursory signals of Chimay\'{o} geyser (New Mexico, USA) under noisy environments. This geyser can be considered as a natural analog of $\mathrm{CO}_2$…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-10-04 B. Yuan , Y. J. Tan , M. K. Mudunuru , O. E. Marcillo , A. A. Delorey , P. M. Roberts , J. D. Webster , C. N. L. Gammans , S. Karra , G. D. Guthrie , P. A. Johnson

A theoretical analysis of the earthquake prediction problem in space-time is presented. We find an explicit structure of the optimal strategy and its relation to the generalized error diagram. This study is a generalization of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Molchan , V. Keilis-Borok

Estimating porosity models via seismic data is challenging due to the signal noise and insufficient resolution of seismic data. Although impedance inversion is often used by combining with well logs, several hurdles remain to retrieve…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-11-29 Honggeun Jo , Yongchae Cho , Michael J. Pyrcz , Hewei Tang , Pengcheng Fu

This study addresses the prediction of geomagnetic disturbances by exploiting machine learning techniques. Specifically, the Long-Short Term Memory recurrent neural network, which is particularly suited for application over long time…

Volcano eruption forecast remains a challenging and controversial problem despite the fact that data from volcano monitoring significantly increased in quantity and quality during the last decades.This study uses pattern recognition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 J. -R. Grasso , I. Zaliapin
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