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The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

We present a lightweight approach to sequence classification using Ensemble Methods for Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). HMMs offer significant advantages in scenarios with imbalanced or smaller datasets due to their simplicity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Maxime Kawawa-Beaudan , Srijan Sood , Soham Palande , Ganapathy Mani , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are widely applied in studies where a discrete-valued process of interest is observed indirectly. They have for example been used to model behaviour from human and animal tracking data, disease status from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 Théo Michelot

We test the robustness of a maximum-likelihood (ML) based classifier where sequential data as observation is corrupted by noise. The hypothesis is that a generative model, that combines the state transitions of a hidden Markov model (HMM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Anubhab Ghosh , Antoine Honoré , Dong Liu , Gustav Eje Henter , Saikat Chatterjee

We investigate a novel modeling approach for end-to-end neural network training using hidden Markov models (HMM) where the transition probabilities between hidden states are modeled and learned explicitly. Most contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Daniel Mann , Tina Raissi , Wilfried Michel , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

A hidden Markov model (HMM) scheme for tracking continuous-wave gravitational radiation from neutron stars in low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs) with wandering spin is extended by introducing a frequency-domain matched filter, called the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 S. Suvorova , P. Clearwater , A. Melatos , L. Sun , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

In this article we focus on Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE) for the static parameters of hidden Markov models (HMMs). We will consider the case where one cannot or does not want to compute the conditional likelihood density of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-18 Elena Ehrlich , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We aim to model unknown file processing. As the content of log files often evolves over time, we established a dynamic statistical model which learns and adapts processing and parsing rules. First, we limit the amount of unstructured text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Nadine Kuhnert , Andreas Maier

We consider a class of filtering problems for large populations where each individual is modeled by the same hidden Markov model (HMM). In this paper, we focus on aggregate inference problems in HMMs with discrete state space and continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Qinsheng Zhang , Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

This paper studies the synthesis of an active perception policy that maximizes the information leakage of the initial state in a stochastic system modeled as a hidden Markov model (HMM). Specifically, the emission function of the HMM is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Chongyang Shi , Shuo Han , Michael Dorothy , Jie Fu

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used for disease progression modeling when the true patient health state is not fully known. Since HMMs typically have multiple local optima, incorporating additional patient covariates can improve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Matt Baucum , Anahita Khojandi , Theodore Papamarkou

B-spline-based hidden Markov models employ B-splines to specify the emission distributions, offering a more flexible modelling approach to data than conventional parametric HMMs. We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference, enabling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sida Chen , Bärbel Finkenstädt Rand

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

Variable order sequence modeling is an important problem in artificial and natural intelligence. While overcomplete Hidden Markov Models (HMMs), in theory, have the capacity to represent long-term temporal structure, they often fail to…

Discrete-time hidden Markov models are a broadly useful class of latent-variable models with applications in areas such as speech recognition, bioinformatics, and climate data analysis. It is common in practice to introduce temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-16 Tracy Holsclaw , Arthur M. Greene , Andrew W. Robertson , Padhraic Smyth

Delay embedding is a commonly employed technique in a wide range of data-driven model reduction methods for dynamical systems, including the Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), the Hankel alternative view of the Koopman decomposition (HAVOK),…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Joar Axås , George Haller

Motivated by Hubert's segmentation procedure we discuss the application of hidden Markov models (HMM) to the segmentation of hydrological and enviromental time series. We use a HMM algorithm which segments time series of several hundred…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Ath. Kehagias

In pursuit of explainability, we develop generative models for sequential data. The proposed models provide state-of-the-art classification results and robust performance for speech phone classification. We combine modern neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Anubhab Ghosh , Antoine Honoré , Dong Liu , Gustav Eje Henter , Saikat Chatterjee

We introduce a numerical method for computing spectral densities, and apply it to the evaluation of the local density of states (LDOS) of sparse Hamiltonians derived from tight-binding models. The approach, which we call the high-order…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 Jinjing Yi , Daniel Massatt , Andrew Horning , Mitchell Luskin , J. H. Pixley , Jason Kaye