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Sampling from a dynamic discrete distribution means drawing an index with probability proportional to a mutable set of weights. Classical constant-time techniques such as the Alias Method are well suited to static distributions, but become…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Lilith Orion Hafner , Adriano Meligrana

Bayesian optimisation is a sample efficient method for finding a global optimum of expensive black-box objective functions. Historic datasets from related problems can be exploited to help improve performance of Bayesian optimisation by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Natasha Trinkle , Huong Ha , Jeffrey Chan

Sampling complex free energy surfaces is one of the main challenges of modern atomistic simulation methods. The presence of kinetic bottlenecks in such surfaces often renders a direct approach useless. A popular strategy is to identify a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-25 Luigi Bonati , Yue-Yu Zhang , Michele Parrinello

Envelope methodology is succinctly pitched as a class of procedures for increasing efficiency in multivariate analyses without altering traditional objectives \citep[first sentence of page 1]{cook2018introduction}. This description is true…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Daniel J. Eck

Document sketching using Jaccard similarity has been a workable effective technique in reducing near-duplicates in Web page and image search results, and has also proven useful in file system synchronization, compression and learning…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Bernhard Haeupler , Mark Manasse , Kunal Talwar

Weight-ensembles are formed when the parameters of multiple neural networks are directly averaged into a single model. They have demonstrated generalization capability in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) which is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Alex Rojas , David Alvarez-Melis

Importance Sampling methods are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions or some of their moments. In its standard approach, samples are drawn from a single proposal distribution and weighted properly. However, since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Fitting mixed models to complex survey data is a challenging problem. Most methods in the literature, including the most widely used one, require a close relationship between the model structure and the survey design. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Thomas Lumley , Xudong Huang

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

An efficient computational approach for optimal reconstruction of binary-type images suitable for models in various applications including biomedical imaging is developed and validated. The methodology includes derivative-free optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Paul R. Arbic , Vladislav Bukshtynov

The subject of this paper is optimisation of weak lensing tomography: We carry out numerical minimisation of a measure of total statistical error as a function of the redshifts of the tomographic bin edges by means of a Nelder-Mead…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-21 Marvin Sipp , Bjoern Malte Schaefer , Robert Reischke

Bias in causal comparisons has a direct correspondence with distributional imbalance of covariates between treatment groups. Weighting strategies such as inverse propensity score weighting attempt to mitigate bias by either modeling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Jared D. Huling , Simon Mak

Imbalanced data occurs in a wide range of scenarios. The skewed distribution of the target variable elicits bias in machine learning algorithms. One of the popular methods to combat imbalanced data is to artificially balance the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Firuz Kamalov , Ashraf Elnagar

Weighted model counting (WMC) is the task of computing the weighted sum of all satisfying assignments (i.e., models) of a propositional formula. Similarly, weighted model sampling (WMS) aims to randomly generate models with probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Yuanhong Wang , Juhua Pu , Yuyi Wang , Ondřej Kuželka

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Classification and probability estimation are fundamental tasks with broad applications across modern machine learning and data science, spanning fields such as biology, medicine, engineering, and computer science. Recent development of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Liyun Zeng , Hao Helen Zhang

A framework to boost the efficiency of Bayesian inference in probabilistic programs is introduced by embedding a sampler inside a variational posterior approximation. We call it the refined variational approximation. Its strength lies both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua

We consider a generalization of the discrete-time Self Healing Umbrella Sampling method, which is an adaptive importance technique useful to sample multimodal target distributions. The importance function is based on the weights (namely the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull