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The MDL two-part coding $ \textit{index of resolvability} $ provides a finite-sample upper bound on the statistical risk of penalized likelihood estimators over countable models. However, the bound does not apply to unpenalized maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-01 W. D. Brinda , Jason M. Klusowski

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

The Frobenius primality test is based on the properties of the Frobenius automorphism of the quadratic extension of the residue field. Although it is probabilistic, we show that is "very rarely wrong". To date there are no counterexamples…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Sergei Khashin

This paper presents an achievability bound that evaluates the exact probability of error of an ensemble of random codes that are decoded by a minimum distance decoder. Compared to the state-of-the-art which demands exponential computation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Ioannis Papoutsidakis , Angela Doufexi , Robert J. Piechocki

We give the proof of a tight lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable exceeds its expected value. The inequality plays an important role in a variety of contexts, including the analysis of relative deviation bounds in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

Permutation tests are widely recognized as robust alternatives to tests based on normal theory. Random permutation tests have been frequently employed to assess the significance of variables in linear models. Despite their widespread use,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Leying Guan

We discuss the use of likelihood asymptotics for inference on risk measures in univariate extreme value problems, focusing on estimation of high quantiles and similar summaries of risk for uncertainty quantification. We study whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison

We present a function that tests for primality, factorizes composites and builds a closed form expression of $\pi(n^2)$ in terms of $\sum_{3 \leq p \leq n} \frac{1}{p}$ and a weaker version of $\omega(n)$.

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Madieyna Diouf

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

We study the properties of several likelihood-based statistics commonly used in testing for the presence of a known signal under a mixture model with known background, but unknown signal fraction. Under the null hypothesis of no signal, all…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-26 Igor Volobouev , A. Alexandre Trindade

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra

This paper investigates robust versions of the general empirical risk minimization algorithm, one of the core techniques underlying modern statistical methods. Success of the empirical risk minimization is based on the fact that for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stanislav Minsker , Timothée Mathieu

The group testing problem is concerned with identifying a small set of infected individuals in a large population. At our disposal is a testing procedure that allows us to test several individuals together. In an idealized setting, a test…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Oliver Gebhard , Oliver Johnson , Philipp Loick , Maurice Rolvien

Polynomial time primality tests for specific classes of numbers of the form $k\cdot 2^m \pm 1$ are introduced.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Predrag Terzic

We studied two probabilistic models of the distribution of primes in the natural number [1].The paper considers the third probabilistic model of the distribution of primes in the natural number. The author proved that the results obtained…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Victor Volfson

We consider the problem of estimating covariance and precision matrices, and their associated discriminant coefficients, from normal data when the rank of the covariance matrix is strictly smaller than its dimension and the available sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

Training classifiers is difficult with severe class imbalance, but many rare events are the culmination of a sequence with much more common intermediate outcomes. For example, in online marketing a user first sees an ad, then may click on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-31 Gregory Faletto , Jacob Bien

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

The estimation of a probability p from repeated Bernoulli trials is considered in this paper. A sequential approach is followed, using a simple stopping rule. A closed-form expression and an upper bound are obtained for the mean absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Luis Mendo
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