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We propose a robust adaptive Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy with online set-based estimation for constrained linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded disturbances. A sample-based test applied to predicted trajectories is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon

Motion planning under differential constraints is a classic problem in robotics. To date, the state of the art is represented by sampling-based techniques, with the Rapidly-exploring Random Tree algorithm as a leading example. Yet, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Edward Schmerling , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

We introduce a Monte Carlo algorithm to efficiently compute transport properties of chaotic dynamical systems. Our method exploits the importance sampling technique that favors trajectories in the tail of the distribution of displacements,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-25 Diego Tapias , David P. Sanders , Eduardo G. Altmann

This paper proposes a novel and practical framework for safe flight envelope estimation and protection, in order to prevent loss-of-control-related accidents. Conventional analytical envelope estimation methods fail to function efficiently…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Mingzhou Yin , Q. P. Chu , Y. Zhang , Michael A. Niestroy , C. C. de Visser

In this work, we develop an importance sampling estimator by coupling the reduced-order model and the generative model in a problem setting of uncertainty quantification. The target is to estimate the probability that the quantity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoliang Wan , Shuangqing Wei

This paper investigates adaptive importance sampling algorithms for which the policy, the sequence of distributions used to generate the particles, is a mixture distribution between a flexible kernel density estimate (based on the previous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Bernard Delyon , François Portier

The reduced density matrix of excitons coupled to a phonon bath at a finite temperature is studied using the path integral Monte Carlo method. Appropriate choices of estimators and importance sampling schemes are crucial to the performance…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 Sangwoo Shim , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Reliability is a key factor for realizing safety guarantee of full autonomous robot systems. In this paper, we focus on reliability in mobile robot localization. Monte Carlo localization (MCL) is widely used for mobile robot localization.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Naoki Akai

In automated driving, crash mitigation is crucial to ensure passenger safety. Accurate avoidance requires precise knowledge of the object's position and orientation. However, sensor noise and occlusions often result in tracking and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Tobias Kern , Christian Birkner

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

Importance sampling (IS) is a powerful Monte Carlo methodology for the approximation of intractable integrals, very often involving a target probability density function. The performance of IS heavily depends on the appropriate selection of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Víctor Elvira , Emilie Chouzenoux , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Luca Martino

Among Monte Carlo techniques, the importance sampling requires fine tuning of a proposal distribution, which is now fluently resolved through iterative schemes. The Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS) of Cornuet et al. (2012)…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-27 Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo , Mohammed Sedki

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

Providing guarantees on the safe operation of robots against edge cases is challenging as testing methods such as traditional Monte-Carlo require too many samples to provide reasonable statistics. Built upon recent advancements in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Guy Scher , Sadra Sadraddini , Ariel Yadin , Hadas Kress-Gazit

Risk assessment of a robot in controlled environments, such as laboratories and proving grounds, is a common means to assess, certify, validate, verify, and characterize the robots' safety performance before, during, and even after their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Linda Capito , Guillermo A. Castillo , Bowen Weng

In this work, we propose a smart idea to couple importance sampling and Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). We advocate a per level approach with as many importance sampling parameters as the number of levels, which enables us to compute the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

A new framework is developed for control of constrained nonlinear systems with structured parametric uncertainties. Forward invariance of a safe set is achieved through online parameter adaptation and data-driven model estimation. The new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Jonathan P. How

We study the feature-scaled version of the Monte Carlo algorithm with linear function approximation. This algorithm converges to a scale-invariant solution, which is not unduly affected by states having feature vectors with large norms. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Rahul Madhavan , Hemanta Makwana

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren