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Bayesian inference for inverse problems involves computing expectations under posterior distributions -- e.g., posterior means, variances, or predictive quantities -- typically via Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. When the quantity of interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Ali Siahkoohi , Hyunwoo Oh

We consider the problem of approximating the stationary distribution of an ergodic Markov chain given a set of sampled transitions. Classical simulation-based approaches assume access to the underlying process so that trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Junfeng Wen , Bo Dai , Lihong Li , Dale Schuurmans

We consider multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. In this article an \emph{intermediate} reduced model is obtained for a slow-fast system with fast mode driven by white noise. First, the reduced stochastic system on exponentially…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-03-10 W. Wang , A. J. Roberts

We present a formalism that allows for the direct manipulation and optimization of subspaces, circumventing the need to optimize individual states when using subspace methods. Using the determinant state mapping, we can naturally extend…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-29 Adrien Kahn , Luca Gravina , Filippo Vicentini

In this paper we develop the large deviations principle and a rigorous mathematical framework for asymptotically efficient importance sampling schemes for general, fully dependent systems of stochastic differential equations of slow and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We design receding horizon control strategies for stochastic discrete-time linear systems with additive (possibly) unbounded disturbances, while obeying hard bounds on the control inputs. We pose the problem of selecting an appropriate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-07 Debasish Chatterjee , Peter Hokayem , John Lygeros

In this paper we propose and discuss variance reduction techniques for the estimation of quantiles of the output of a complex model with random input parameters. These techniques are based on the use of a reduced model, such as a metamodel…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Iooss

In this paper, we extend a recently introduced multi-fidelity control variate for the uncertainty quantification of the Boltzmann equation to the case of kinetic models arising in the study of multiagent systems. For these phenomena, where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-05 Lorenzo Pareschi , Torsten Trimborn , Mattia Zanella

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

We consider a composite convex minimization problem associated with regularized empirical risk minimization, which often arises in machine learning. We propose two new stochastic gradient methods that are based on stochastic dual averaging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Tomoya Murata , Taiji Suzuki

We present a novel approach to investigate the long-time stochastic dynamics of multi-dimensional classical systems, in contact with a heat-bath. When the potential energy landscape is rugged, the kinetics displays a decoupling of short and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 O. Corradini , P. Faccioli , H. Orland

Slow Feature Analysis is a unsupervised representation learning method that extracts slowly varying features from temporal data and can be used as a basis for subsequent reinforcement learning. Often, the behavior that generates the data on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Merlin Schüler , Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

The simulation of systems that act on multiple time scales is challenging. A stable integration of the fast dynamics requires a highly accurate approximation whereas for the simulation of the slow part, a coarser approximation is accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Theresa Wenger , Tobias Gail , Sigrid Leyendecker

The training of modern machine learning models often consists in solving high-dimensional non-convex optimisation problems that are subject to large-scale data. In this context, momentum-based stochastic optimisation algorithms have become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Kexin Jin , Jonas Latz , Chenguang Liu , Alessandro Scagliotti

Finding a reduction of complex, high-dimensional dynamics to its essential, low-dimensional "heart" remains a challenging yet necessary prerequisite for designing efficient numerical approaches. Machine learning methods have the potential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Przemyslaw Zielinski , Jan S. Hesthaven

Averaging is an important method to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. This article derives an averaged equation for a class of stochastic partial differential equations without any…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-04-10 W. Wang , A. J. Roberts

In this paper we present a dynamic programing approach to stochastic optimal control problems with dynamic, time-consistent risk constraints. Constrained stochastic optimal control problems, which naturally arise when one has to consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we propose a variance reduction approach for Markov chains based on additive control variates and the minimization of an appropriate estimate for the asymptotic variance. We focus on the particular case when control variates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Denis Belomestny , Artur Goldman , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov
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