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We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Ab initio free energy calculations are employed to derive the entropy of liquid and superionic water over a wide range of conditions in the interiors of Uranus and Neptune. The resulting adiabats are much shallower in pressure-temperature…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-26 Burkhard Militzer

We present a unified framework to derive fundamental stellar parameters by combining all available observational and theoretical information for a star. The algorithm relies on the method of Bayesian inference, which for the first time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Ralph Schönrich , Maria Bergemann

In many inverse problems, model parameters cannot be precisely determined from observational data. Bayesian inference provides a mechanism for capturing the resulting parameter uncertainty, but typically at a high computational cost. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Matthew Parno , Tarek Moselhy , Youssef Marzouk

The characterization of an exoplanet's interior is an inverse problem, which requires statistical methods such as Bayesian inference in order to be solved. Current methods employ Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to infer the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-26 Jonas Haldemann , Victor Ksoll , Daniel Walter , Yann Alibert , Ralf S. Klessen , Willy Benz , Ullrich Koethe , Lynton Ardizzone , Carsten Rother

We use neutron star mass and radius measurements to constrain the spontaneous scalarization phenomenon in scalar-tensor theories using Bayesian analysis. Neutron star structures in this scenario can be significantly different from the case…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-07-06 Semih Tuna , Kıvanç İ. Ünlütürk , Fethi M. Ramazanoğlu

Understanding the existence of exotic matter phases and phase transitions within the core of neutron stars is crucial to advancing our knowledge of cold-dense matter physics. Recent multi-messenger observations, including gravitational…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-05-07 Chun Huang , Shashwat Sourav

Stellar models utilising one-dimensional (1D), heuristic theories of convection fail to adequately describe the energy transport in superadiabatic layers. The improper modelling leads to well-known discrepancies between observed and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-23 Andreas Christ Sølvsten Jørgensen , George C. Angelou

Modelling a complex system is almost invariably a challenging task. The incorporation of experimental observations can be used to improve the quality of a model, and thus to obtain better predictions about the behavior of the corresponding…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-11-24 Massimiliano Bonomi , Carlo Camilloni , Andrea Cavalli , Michele Vendruscolo

Context. Convective regions in stellar models are always associated with uncertainties, for example due to extra-mixing or the possible inaccurate position of the transition from convective to radiative transport of energy. These have a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-07 G. Buldgen , D. R. Reese , M. A. Dupret

Understanding the physics of the deep solar interior, and the more exotic environs of core-collapse supernovae (CCSN) and binary neutron-star (NS) mergers, is of keen interest in many avenues of research. To date, this physics is based…

We use Bayesian inference and nested sampling to develop a non-parametric method to reconstruct the primordial power spectrum $P_{\mathcal{R}}(k)$ from Large Scale Structure (LSS) data. The performance of the method is studied by applying…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-16 G. Martínez-Somonte , A. Marcos-Caballero , E. Martínez-González , G. Cañas-Herrera

The Hapke model has been widely used to describe the photometrical behavior of planetary surface through the Bi-directional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF), but the uncertainties about retrieved parameters has been difficult to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-01 Frederic Schmidt , Sebastien Bourguignon

A number of theoretically well-motivated additions to the standard cosmological model predict weak signatures in the form of spatially localized sources embedded in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We present a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-18 Stephen M. Feeney , Matthew C. Johnson , Jason D. McEwen , Daniel J. Mortlock , Hiranya V. Peiris

This paper presents a systematic literature review focusing on the application of machine learning techniques for deriving observational constraints in cosmology. The goal is to evaluate and synthesize existing research to identify…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-14 Luis Rojas , Sebastián Espinoza , Esteban González , Carlos Maldonado , Fei Luo

The detailed interior structure models of super-Earth planets show that there is degeneracy in the possible bulk compositions of a super-Earth at a given mass and radius, determined via radial velocity and transit measurements,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Robert A. Marcus , Dimitar Sasselov , Lars Hernquist , Sarah T. Stewart

Multi-dimensional parameter spaces are commonly encountered in physics theories that go beyond the Standard Model. However, they often possess complicated posterior geometries that are expensive to traverse using techniques traditional to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Dorian W. P. Amaral , Shixiao Liang , Juehang Qin , Christopher Tunnell

Radio pulsar timing, X-ray pulse profile modeling or gravitational-wave detections of binary mergers involving at least one neutron star offer the opportunity to elucidate the properties of dense and neutron rich matter in thermodynamic…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-12-08 Lami Suleiman , Anthea F. Fantina , Francesca Gulminelli , Jocelyn Read

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou
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