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This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-10 Rajesh Ranganath , David Blei

Statisticians and quantitative neuroscientists have actively promoted the use of independence relationships for investigating brain networks, genomic networks, and other measurement technologies. Estimation of these graphs depends on two…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-15 Fang Han , Huitong Qiu , Han Liu , Brian Caffo

We consider the hypothesis testing problem of detecting conditional dependence, with a focus on high-dimensional feature spaces. Our contribution is a new test statistic based on samples from a generative adversarial network designed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-20 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this work, we propose a global model selection criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies of a random vector based on a finite sample. By global criterion, we mean optimizing a function over the entire set of possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Florencia Leonardi , Magno T. F Severino

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing independence in high-dimensional settings with missing data. Building upon a recently proposed Kendall-based statistic, we introduce two new modifications specifically designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Marija Cuparić , Bojana Milošević , Jelena Radojević

We propose a recurrent neural network for a "model-free" simulation of a dynamical system with unknown parameters without prior knowledge. The deep learning model aims to jointly learn the nonlinear time marching operator and the effects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Kyongmin Yeo , Dylan E. C. Grullon , Fan-Keng Sun , Duane S. Boning , Jayant R. Kalagnanam

We present a numerical framework for recovering unknown non-autonomous dynamical systems with time-dependent inputs. To circumvent the difficulty presented by the non-autonomous nature of the system, our method transforms the solution state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Bellot , Kim Branson , Mihaela van der Schaar

Structural learning of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) or Bayesian networks has been studied extensively under the assumption that data are independent. We propose a new Gaussian DAG model for dependent data which assumes the observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-30 Hangjian Li , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Qing Zhou

Graphical models provide a powerful methodology for learning the conditional independence structure in multivariate data. Inference is often focused on estimating individual edges in the latent graph. Nonetheless, there is increasing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-15 Willem van den Boom , Maria De Iorio , Alexandros Beskos

The varying-coefficient model is an important nonparametric statistical model that allows us to examine how the effects of covariates vary with exposure variables. When the number of covariates is big, the issue of variable selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Jianqing Fan , Yunbei Ma , Wei Dai

In this paper, we present a simple non-parametric method for learning the structure of undirected graphs from data that drawn from an underlying unknown distribution. We propose to use Brownian distance covariance to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-28 Ehsan Khoshgnauz

Graphical model selection is a seemingly impossible task when many pairs of variables are never jointly observed; this requires inference of conditional dependencies with no observations of corresponding marginal dependencies. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Giuseppe Vinci , Gautam Dasarathy , Genevera I. Allen

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

We study the problem of learning the topology of a directed Gaussian Graphical Model under the equal-variance assumption, where the graph has $n$ nodes and maximum in-degree $d$. Prior work has established that $O(d \log n)$ samples are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Constantinos Daskalakis , Vardis Kandiros , Rui Yao

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

Real-life statistical samples are often plagued by selection bias, which complicates drawing conclusions about the general population. When learning causal relationships between the variables is of interest, the sample may be assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Angelos P. Armen , Robin J. Evans

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Tobias Boege , Mathias Drton , Benjamin Hollering , Sarah Lumpp , Pratik Misra , Daniela Schkoda
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