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We present and test a sequential learning algorithm for the short-term prediction of human mobility. This novel approach pairs the Exponential Weights forecaster with a very large ensemble of experts. The experts are individual sequence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-23 Bartosz Hawelka , Izabela Sitko , Pavlos Kazakopoulos , Euro Beinat

The pervasive use of new mobile devices has allowed a better characterization in space and time of human concentrations and mobility in general. Besides its theoretical interest, describing mobility is of great importance for a number of…

The recent availability of large databases allows to study macroscopic properties of many complex systems. However, inferring a model from a fit of empirical data without any knowledge of the dynamics might lead to erroneous interpretations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-31 Riccardo Gallotti , Armando Bazzani , Sandro Rambaldi , Marc Barthelemy

The accurate modeling of individual movement in cities has significant implications for policy decisions across various sectors. Existing research emphasizes the universality of human mobility, positing that simple models can capture…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-04 Ludovico Napoli , Márton Karsai , Esteban Moro

Understanding the variability of people's travel patterns is key to transport planning and policy-making. However, to what extent daily transit use displays geographic and temporal variabilities, and what are the contributing factors have…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Sui Tao , Francisco Rowe , Hongyu Shan

Understanding human mobility during emergencies is critical for strengthening urban resilience and guiding emergency management. This study examines transitions between returners, who repeatedly visit a limited set of locations, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Omid Armantalab , Jason Hawkins , Wissam Kontar

Fundamental laws of human mobility have been extensively studied, yet we are still lacking a comprehensive understanding of the mobility patterns of sharing conveyances. Since travellers would highly probably no longer possess their own…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-16 Ruiqi Li , Ankang Luo , Fan Shang , Linyuan Lv , Jingfang Fan , Gang Lu , Liming Pan , Lixin Tian , H. Eugene Stanley

In 2020 and 2021, the spread of COVID-19 was globally addressed by imposing restrictions on the distance of individual travel. Recent literature has uncovered a clear pattern in human mobility that underlies the complexity of urban…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-05 Cate Heine , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Paolo Santi , Li Yan , Carlo Ratti

User mobility prediction is widely considered to be helpful for various sorts of location based services on mobile devices. A large amount of studies have explored different algorithms to predict where a user will visit in the future based…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Huoran Li

Modeling and predicting human mobility trajectories in urban areas is an essential task for various applications. The recent availability of large-scale human movement data collected from mobile devices have enabled the development of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Toru Shimizu , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Kaoru Sezaki , Esteban Moro , Alex Pentland

Opportunistic networks (OppNets) are modern types of intermittently connected networks in which mobile users communicate with each other via their short-range devices to share data among interested observers. In this setting, humans are the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Poria Pirozmand , Guowei Wu , Behrouz Jedari , Feng Xia

Identifying statistical patterns characterizing human trajectories is crucial for public health, traffic engineering, city planning, and epidemic modeling. Recent developments in global positioning systems and mobile phone networks have…

In this paper we revisit the concept of mobility entropy. Over time, the structure of spatial interactions among urban centres tends to become more complex and evolves from centralised models to more scattered origin and destination…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-30 Valentina Marin , Carlos Molinero , Elsa Arcaute

Social connectivity is the key process that characterizes the structural properties of social networks and in turn processes such as navigation, influence or information diffusion. Since time, attention and cognition are inelastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-09 Giovanna Miritello , Rubén Lara , Manuel Cebrián , Esteban Moro

People's daily activities in the urban environment are complex and vary by individuals. Existing studies using mobile phone data revealed distinct and recurrent transitional activity patterns, known as mobility motifs, in people's daily…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Junjun Yin , Guangqing Chi

Historically, much of the research in understanding, modeling, and mining human trajectory data has focused on where an individual stays. Thus, the focus of existing research has been on where a user goes. On the other hand, the study of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Lance Kennedy , Andreas Züfle

The COVID-19 pandemic is changing the world in unprecedented and unpredictable ways. Human mobility is at the epicenter of that change, as the greatest facilitator for the spread of the virus. To study the change in mobility, to evaluate…

Previous studies have shown that human movement is predictable to a certain extent at different geographic scales. Existing prediction techniques exploit only the past history of the person taken into consideration as input of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-17 Manlio De Domenico , Antonio Lima , Mirco Musolesi

We study a random walk model in which the jumping probability to a site is dependent on the number of previous visits to the site, as a model of the mobility with memory. To this end we introduce two parameters called the memory parameter…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-11 Jeehye Choi , Jang-Il Sohn , K. -I. Goh , I. -M. Kim

Urban areas serve as melting pots of people with diverse socioeconomic backgrounds, who may not only be segregated but have characteristic mobility patterns in the city. While mobility is driven by individual needs and preferences, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-26 Rafiazka Millanida Hilman , Gerardo Iñiguez , Márton Karsai