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This paper presents a new method to estimate systematic errors in the maximum-likelihood regression of count data. The method is applicable in particular to X-ray spectra in situations where the Poisson log-likelihood, or the Cash…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-03 M. Bonamente

Bayesian regression determines model parameters by minimizing the expected loss, an upper bound to the true generalization error. However, the loss ignores misspecification, where models are imperfect. Parameter uncertainties from Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-07 Thomas D Swinburne , Danny Perez

Squared error loss remains the most commonly used loss function for constructing a Bayes estimator of the parameter of interest. However, it can lead to sub-optimal solutions when a parameter is defined in a restricted space. It can also be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , Mauro Gasparini

We establish a general inequality on the Poisson space, yielding an upper bound for the distance in total variation between the law of a regular random variable with values in the integers and a Poisson distribution. Several applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-18 Giovanni Peccati

Bayesian error analysis paves the way to the construction of credible and plausible error regions for a point estimator obtained from a given dataset. We introduce the concept of region accuracy for error regions (a generalization of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-15 Changhun Oh , Yong Siah Teo , Hyunseok Jeong

The Cram\'er-Rao bound serves as a crucial lower limit for the mean squared error of an estimator in frequentist parameter estimation. Paradoxically, it requires highly accurate prior knowledge of the estimated parameter for constructing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-21 Javier Navarro , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Mikel Sanz

Frequentist and Bayesian phase estimation strategies lead to conceptually different results on the state of knowledge about the true value of the phase shift. We compare the two frameworks and their sensitivity bounds to the estimation of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-27 Yan Li , Luca Pezzè , Manuel Gessner , Weidong Li , Augusto Smerzi

We investigate the connection between the time-evolution of averages of stochastic quantities and the Fisher information and its induced statistical length. As a consequence of the Cramer-Rao bound, we find that the rate of change of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-01 Sosuke Ito , Andreas Dechant

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) plays an important role in the analysis of parameter inference and system design problems. In a number of cases, however, the statistical data distribution and its associated information matrix are either…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

This paper deals with the parameter estimation problem of the Single-Input-Single-Output (SISO) switched Hammerstein system. Suppose that the switching law is arbitrary but can be observed online. All subsystems are parameterized and the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Jing Zhang , Han-Fu Chen

In this paper, we derive an explicit sample size formula based a mixed criterion of absolute and relative errors for estimating means of Poisson random variables.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-21 Xinjia Chen

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

In random parameter estimation, Bayesian lower bounds (BLBs) for the mean-square error have been noticed to not be tight in a number of cases, even when the sample size, or the signal-to-noise ratio, grow to infinity. In this paper, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Lucien Bacharach , Carsten Fritsche , Umut Orguner , Eric Chaumette

This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Eric Bauer , Daphne Koller , Yoram Singer

The problem of astrometry is revisited from the perspective of analyzing the attainability of well-known performance limits (the Cramer-Rao bound) for the estimation of the relative position of light-emitting (usually point-like) sources on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-05 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Rene A. Mendez , Rodrigo Lobos , Marcos Orchard

The Cramer-Rao lower bound for the estimation of the affine transformation parameters in a multivariate heteroscedastic errors-in-variables model is derived. The model is suitable for feature-based image registration in which both sets of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-30 E. A. K. Cohen , D. Kim , R. J. Ober

This paper considers estimation of a random variable in Poisson noise with signal scaling coefficient and dark current as explicit parameters of the noise model. Specifically, the paper focuses on properties of the conditional mean…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

We show that the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson distribution can be arbitrarily underdispersed when parametrized via its mean. More precisely, if the mean $\mu$ is an integer then the limiting distribution is a unit probability mass at $\mu$. If…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Alan Huang

This review aims at gathering the most relevant quantum multi-parameter estimation methods that go beyond the direct use of the Quantum Fisher Information concept. We discuss in detail the Holevo Cram\'er-Rao bound, the Quantum Local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-02 Rafal Demkowicz-Dobrzanski , Wojciech Gorecki , Madalin Guta
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