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We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

We study quasi-convex optimization problems, where only a subset of the constraints can be sampled, and yet one would like a probabilistic guarantee on the obtained solution with respect to the initial (unknown) optimization problem. Even…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers , Zheming Wang

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

We consider estimation of the covariance matrix of a multivariate random vector under the constraint that certain covariances are zero. We first present an algorithm, which we call Iterative Conditional Fitting, for computing the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Constrained approaches to maximum likelihood estimation in the context of finite mixtures of normals have been presented in the literature. A fully data-dependent constrained method for maximum likelihood estimation of clusterwise linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Roberto Di Mari , Roberto Rocci , Stefano Antonio Gattone

We present a novel approach for constrained Bayesian inference. Unlike current methods, our approach does not require convexity of the constraint set. We reduce the constrained variational inference to a parametric optimization over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Joydeep Ghosh

Chance constraints provide a principled framework to mitigate the risk of high-impact extreme events by modifying the controllable properties of a system. The low probability and rare occurrence of such events, however, impose severe…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Shanyin Tong , Anirudh Subramanyam , Vishwas Rao

Agent behavior is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty in trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. This problem has motivated significant amounts of work in the behavior prediction community on learning rich distributions of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

We develop a multi-level restricted Gaussian maximum likelihood method for estimating the covariance function parameters and computing the best unbiased predictor. Our approach produces a new set of multi-level contrasts where the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Marc G. Genton , Rio Yokota

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

This paper develops an analytical method of truncating inequality constrained Gaussian distributed variables where the constraints are themselves described by Gaussian distributions. Existing truncation methods either assume hard…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-08 Andrew W. Palmer , Andrew J. Hill , Steven J. Scheding

We study the accuracy of estimating the covariance and the precision matrix of a $D$-variate sub-Gaussian distribution along a prescribed subspace or direction using the finite sample covariance. Our results show that the estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Zeljko Kereta , Timo Klock

Constrained clustering has gained significant attention in the field of machine learning as it can leverage prior information on a growing amount of only partially labeled data. Following recent advances in deep generative models, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Laura Manduchi , Kieran Chin-Cheong , Holger Michel , Sven Wellmann , Julia E. Vogt

We investigate a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) with component means constrained in a pre-selected subspace. Applications to classification and clustering are explored. An EM-type estimation algorithm is derived. We prove that the subspace…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-27 Mu Qiao , Jia Li

We derive closed-form expressions for the Bayes optimal decision boundaries in binary classification of high dimensional overlapping Gaussian mixture model (GMM) data, and show how they depend on the eigenstructure of the class covariances,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Khen Cohen , Noam Levi , Yaron Oz

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

We investigate a clustering problem with data from a mixture of Gaussians that share a common but unknown, and potentially ill-conditioned, covariance matrix. We start by considering Gaussian mixtures with two equally-sized components and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Damek Davis , Mateo Díaz , Kaizheng Wang

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Finite Gaussian mixture models provide a powerful and widely employed probabilistic approach for clustering multivariate continuous data. However, the practical usefulness of these models is jeopardized in high-dimensional spaces, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Alessandro Casa , Andrea Cappozzo , Michael Fop