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We study the behavior of U.S. markets both before and after U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, and show that the announcement of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate change causes a financial shock, where the dynamics after the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-05 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Coulomb-stress theory has been used for years in seismology to understand how earthquakes trigger each other. Whenever an earthquake occurs, the stress field changes, and places with positive increases are brought closer to failure.…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Víctor Navas-Portella , Abigail Jiménez , Álvaro Corral

During the last twenty years, a number of publications of theoretical-numerical nature have appeared which come to the apparently-reassuring conclusion that seismic motion on the ground in cities is smaller than what this motion would be in…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-01 Armand Wirgin

The existence of magnitude dependence in earthquake triggering has been reported. Such a correlation is linked to the issue of seismic predictability and remains under intense debate whether it is physical or is caused by incomplete data…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang

It is useful to consider the earthquakes in terms of catastrophe theory. In the paper, we illustrate this statement by analysis foreshocks preceding the strong earthquakes. We focused on the so-called catastrophe flags, and on the triggers…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-10-29 A. V. Guglielmi , A. L. Sobisevich , L. E. Sobisevich , I. P. Lavrov

Using a method based on normalized monthly variation rate, we studied resistivity data of seven observation stations before the events in the epicenter areas of two strong earthquakes. The relationship between variation of anisotropic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-20 Jianguo Zhang , Wei Du , Mingxin Yue , Chenghui Liu , Xiaolong Liang , Jun Yang

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-07 G. F. Panza , A. Peresan , F. Sansò , M. Crespi , A. Mazzoni , A. Nascetti

Despite the importance of predicting evacuation mobility dynamics after large scale disasters for effective first response and disaster relief, our general understanding of evacuation behavior remains limited because of the lack of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Takahiro Yabe , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Kota Tsubouchi , Satoshi Ikemoto

Finite-size effects in the Kuramoto model are known to induce collective fluctuations even below the critical coupling, where the thermodynamic limit predicts complete asynchrony. While the shot-noise approach developed in our recent work…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-31 S. Yu. Kirillov , V. V. Klinshov

We estimate the rate of aftershocks triggered by a heterogeneous stress change, using the rate-and-state model of Dieterich [1994].We show that an exponential stress distribution Pt(au) ~exp(-tautau_0) gives an Omori law decay of…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Agnes Helmstetter , Bruce E. Shaw

In many important systems exhibiting crackling noise --- intermittent avalanche-like relaxation response with power-law and, thus, self-similar distributed event sizes --- the "laws" for the rate of activity after large events are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jörn Davidsen , Marco Baiesi

A sequence of earthquakes occurred between the end of August 2016 and the end of October 2016 in Central Italy causing significant damage and major disruption in a wide area. The sequence of events is composed of five events with magnitude…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-25 Phan Hoang Nam , Fabrizio Paolacci , Phuong Hoa Hoang

The statistical properties of earthquake aftershocks are studied. The scaling relation for the exponents of the Omori law and the power-law calm time distribution (i.e., the interoccurrence time distribution), which is valid if a sequence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We study the relaxation dynamics of a financial market just after the occurrence of a crash by investigating the number of times the absolute value of an index return is exceeding a given threshold value. We show that the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Long-term slow-slip events (LSSEs) usually occur on the deep, shallow parts of subducting plates and have substantial relation with adjacent megathrust fault motion. Conventional techniques of quantifying slow earthquake frictional features…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Shin-ichi Ito , Masayuki Kano , Hiromichi Nagao

The increasing rate in earth quakes in the Netherlands is attributed to the enhanced depletion of Groningen natural gas, currently at a rate of 50 billion m3 per year. We performed a model-independent analysis of the earth quake event…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-03-05 Maurice H. P. M. van Putten , Anton F. P. van Putten

Like natural seismicity, induced seismicity caused by fluid injection also shows a power law size distribution, and its gradient b-value (ratio of small to large earthquakes) is often used for seismic hazard analysis. Despite well-known…

The analysis of the earthquakes catalog of Greece for the period 1964 to 2010 indicates a continuously increasing no. of seismic events. A detailed determination of the cumulative seismic energy release, for specific earthquake magnitudes,…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-12-30 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

Scaling analysis of seismicity in the space-time-magnitude domain very often starts from the relation N(m,L)=a(L)*10**(-bm)*L**c for the rate of seismic events of magnitude M>m in an area of size L. There is some evidence in favor of…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 G. Molchan , T. Kronrod

In June-July,1998 the Konus-Wind burst spectrometer observed a series of bursts from the new soft gamma repeater SGR1627-41. Time histories and energy spectra of the bursts have been studied, revealing fluences and peak fluxes in the ranges…