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We derive the asymptotic risk function of regularized empirical risk minimization (ERM) estimators tuned by $n$-fold cross-validation (CV). The out-of-sample prediction loss of such estimators converges in distribution to the squared-error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Karun Adusumilli , Maximilian Kasy , Ashia Wilson

Given $n$ i.i.d. samples from an unknown discrete distribution over an unknown set, the unseen species problem is to predict how many new outcomes would be observed in $m$ additional samples. For small $m$ we show that the Good-Toulmin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Edward Eriksson

Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE) was proposed by Stein for the independent, identically distributed (iid) Gaussian model in order to derive estimates that dominate least-squares (LS). In recent years, the SURE criterion has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 Yonina C. Eldar

In this work, the estimation of the multivariate normal mean by different classes of shrinkage estimators is investigated. The risk associated with the balanced loss function is used to compare two estimators. We start by considering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Abdelkader Benkhaled , Mekki Terbeche , Abdenour Hamdaoui

In this work, we construct a risk estimator for hard thresholding which can be used as a basis to solve the difficult task of automatically selecting the threshold. As hard thresholding is not even continuous, Stein's lemma cannot be used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Charles-Alban Deledalle , Gabriel Peyré , Jalal Fadili

Brown's 1971 paper "Admissible estimators, recurrent diffusions and insoluble boundary value problems" is a landmark in the admissibility literature. It nearly completely settles the issue of admissibility/inadmissibility for estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-06 Yuzo Maruyama , William , E. Strawderman

We study the problem of estimating an unknown vector $\theta$ from an observation $X$ drawn according to the normal distribution with mean $\theta$ and identity covariance matrix under the knowledge that $\theta$ belongs to a known closed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Xi Chen , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuchen Zhang

This paper discusses the properties of certain risk estimators recently proposed to choose regularization parameters in ill-posed problems. A simple approach is Stein's unbiased risk estimator (SURE), which estimates the risk in the data…

The estimation of the mean matrix of the multivariate normal distribution is addressed in the high dimensional setting. Efron-Morris-type linear shrinkage estimators based on ridge estimators for the precision matrix instead of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Ryota Yuasa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We propose a distributionally robust formulation for simultaneously estimating the covariance matrix and the precision matrix of a random vector.The proposed model minimizes the worst-case weighted sum of the Frobenius loss of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Renjie Chen , Viet Anh Nguyen , Huifu Xu

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

Variance-Gamma distributions are widely used in financial modelling and contain as special cases the normal, Gamma and Laplace distributions. In this paper we extend Stein's method to this class of distributions. In particular, we obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Robert E. Gaunt

This paper presents a novel approach to constructing estimators that dominate the classical James-Stein estimator under the quadratic loss for multivariate normal means. Building on Stein's risk representation, we introduce a new sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yuzo Maruyama , Akimichi Takemura

Shrinkage estimation is a fundamental tool of modern statistics, pioneered by Charles Stein upon his discovery of the famous paradox involving the multivariate Gaussian. A large portion of the subsequent literature only considers the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Max Fathi , Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert , Adrien Saumard

This paper addresses the following question: given a sample of i.i.d. random variables with finite variance, can one construct an estimator of the unknown mean that performs nearly as well as if the data were normally distributed? One of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Stanislav Minsker

The Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) model is a wide used estimation procedure in econometrics, insurance and finance, where very often, the regression model contains more than one equation. Unknown parameters, regression coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Giovanni Saraceno , Fatemah Alqallaf , Claudio Agostinelli

This paper reviews advances in Stein-type shrinkage estimation for spherically symmetric distributions. Some emphasis is placed on developing intuition as to why shrinkage should work in location problems whether the underlying population…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-22 Ann Cohen Brandwein , William E. Strawderman

We introduce a class of regularized M-estimators of multivariate scatter and show, analogous to the popular spatial sign covariance matrix (SSCM), that they possess high breakdown points. We also show that the SSCM can be viewed as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 David E. Tyler , Mengxi Yi , Klaus Nordhausen

In various applied areas such as reliability engineering, molecular biology, finance, etc., the measure of uncertainty of a probability distribution plays an important role. In the present work, we consider the estimation of a function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Shrajal Bajpai , Neeraj Misra

Suppose that the normal model is used for data $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$, but that the true distribution is a t-distribution with location and scale parameters $\xi$ and $\sigma$ and $m$ degrees of freedom. The normal model corresponds to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Nils Lid Hjort