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The purpose of this paper is to present a mathematical theory that can be used as a foundation for statistics that include improper priors. This theory includes improper laws in the initial axioms and has in particular Bayes theorem as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Gunnar Taraldsen , Bo H. Lindqvist

We present a detailed motivation for and definition of the contextual values of an observable, which were introduced by Dressel et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 104 240401 (2010)]. The theory of contextual values extends the well-established theory…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-02-29 J. Dressel , A. N. Jordan

In this paper, we introduce the concept of hyperbolic valued random variables, their expectation and moments. We develop the hyperbolic analogue of Binomial and Poisson distributions. We study some of the properties of expectation on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Romesh Kumar , Kailash Sharma

In 1933 Kolmogorov constructed a general theory that defines the modern concept of conditional probability. In 1955 Renyi fomulated a new axiomatic theory for probability motivated by the need to include unbounded measures. This note…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Gunnar Taraldsen

Modal automata are a classic formal model for component-based systems that comes equipped with a rich specification theory supporting abstraction, refinement and compositional reasoning. In recent years, quantitative variants of modal…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-06-13 Tingting Han , Christian Krause , Marta Kwiatkowska , Holger Giese

We introduce some notions of conditional mean dimension for a factor map between two topological dynamical systems and discuss their properties. With the help of these notions, we obtain an inequality to estimate the mean dimension of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Bingbing Liang

We present a new symbolic execution semantics of probabilistic programs that include observe statements and sampling from continuous distributions. Building on Kozen's seminal work, this symbolic semantics consists of a countable collection…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Erik Voogd , Einar Broch Johnsen , Alexandra Silva , Zachary J. Susag , Andrzej Wąsowski

The semantics and dynamics of `attention' are closely related to promise theoretic notions developed for autonomous agents and can thus easily be written down in promise framework. In this way one may establish a bridge between vectorized…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Mark Burgess

One of the remarkable notions in the recent development of quantum physics is the weak value related to weak measurements. We emulate it as a two-time conditional expectation in a classical stochastic model. We use the well known…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Hiroyuki Tomita

Conditional extreme value models have been introduced by Heffernan and Resnick (2007) to describe the asymptotic behavior of a random vector as one specific component becomes extreme. Obviously, this class of models is related to classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen

This paper introduces an intermediary between conditional expectation and conditional sublinear expectation, called R-conditioning. The R-conditioning of a random-vector in $L^2$ is defined as the best $L^2$-estimate, given a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-29 Anastasis Kratsios

We show that including both the system and the apparatus in the quantum description of the measurement process, and using the concept of conditional probabilities, it is possible to deduce the statistical operator of the system after a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-11-29 R. Laura , L. Vanni

A word-valued source $\mathbf{Y} = Y_1,Y_2,...$ is discrete random process that is formed by sequentially encoding the symbols of a random process $\mathbf{X} = X_1,X_2,...$ with codewords from a codebook $\mathscr{C}$. These processes…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-04-27 Roy Timo , Kim Blackmore , Leif Hanlen

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

Gambles are random variables that model possible changes in monetary wealth. Classic decision theory transforms money into utility through a utility function and defines the value of a gamble as the expectation value of utility changes.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Ole Peters , Murray Gell-Mann

We present a method of hedging Conditional Value at Risk of a position in stock using put options. The result leads to a linear programming problem that can be solved to optimise risk hedging.

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-14 Maciej J. Capiński

This thesis deals with the specification and construction of syntax and operational semantics of a programming language. We work with a general notion of signature for specifying objects of a given category as initial objects in a suitable…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Ambroise Lafont

Regular languages are closed under a wealth of formal language operators. Incorporating such operators in regular expressions leads to concise language specifications, but the transformation of such enhanced regular expressions to finite…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Peter Thiemann

We introduce a probabilistic formalism subsuming Markov random fields of bounded tree width and probabilistic context free grammars. Our models are based on a representation of Boolean formulas that we call case-factor diagrams (CFDs). CFDs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 David A. McAllester , Michael Collins , Fernando Pereira
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