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We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

Stochastic models of biochemical reaction networks are widely used to capture intrinsic noise in cellular systems. The typical formulation of these models are based on Markov processes for which there is extensive research on efficient…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-03 Thomas P. Steele , David J. Warne

Clustering algorithms frequently require the number of clusters to be chosen in advance, but it is usually not clear how to do this. To tackle this challenge when clustering within sequential data, we present a method for estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-29 Thomas van Vuren , Thomas Cronk , Jaron Sanders

We optimize matrix-product state-based algorithms for simulating quantum circuits with finite fidelity, specifically the time-evolving block decimation (TEBD) and the density-matrix renormalization group (DMRG) algorithms, by exploiting the…

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a successful control methodology, which is applied to increasingly complex systems. However, real-time feasibility of MPC can be challenging for complex systems, certainly when an (extremely) large number…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 S. A. N. Nouwens , B. de Jager , M. M. Paulides , W. P. M. H. Heemels

We develop clustering procedures for longitudinal trajectories based on a continuous-time hidden Markov model (CTHMM) and a generalized linear observation model. Specifically in this paper, we carry out finite and infinite mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , David L. Buckeridge

In this paper we propose a technique that assigns obstacles to clusters used for collision avoidance via Mixed-Integer Programming. This strategy enables a reduction in the number of binary variables used for collision avoidance, thus…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-17 Vinicius Antonio Battagello , Nei Yoshihiro Soma , Rubens Junqueira Magalhaes Afonso

We present a computationally tractable framework for real-time predictive control of multi-chiller plants that involve both discrete and continuous control decisions coupled through nonlinear dynamics, resulting in a mixed-integer optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Ján Boldocký , Cary Faulkner , Elad Michael , Martin Gulan , Aaron Tuor , Ján Drgoňa

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to Bayesian experimental design for non-exchangeable data that formulates it as risk-sensitive policy optimization. We develop the Inside-Out SMC$^2$ algorithm, a nested sequential Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Sahel Iqbal , Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä , Hany Abdulsamad

In this paper, a new non-search based synthesis algorithm for reversible circuits is proposed. Compared with the widely used search-based methods, our algorithm is guarantied to produce a result and can lead to a solution with much fewer…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-04-12 Mehdi Saeedi , Mehdi Sedighi , Morteza Saheb Zamani

Process discovery algorithms automatically extract process models from event logs, but high variability often results in complex and hard-to-understand models. To mitigate this issue, trace clustering techniques group process executions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Most methods proposed to uncover communities in complex networks rely on combinatorial graph properties. Usually an edge-counting quality function, such as modularity, is optimized over all partitions of the graph compared against a null…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-17 Renaud Lambiotte , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Mauricio Barahona

Process discovery aims at automatically creating process models on the basis of event data captured during the execution of business processes. Process discovery algorithms tend to use all of the event data to discover a process model. This…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Mohammadreza Fani Sani , Mathilde Boltenhagen , Wil van der Aalst

In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

In this work, we developed an efficient approach to compute ensemble averages in systems with pairwise-additive energetic interactions between the entities. Methods involving full enumeration of the configuration space result in exponential…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Arun V. Sathanur , Nathan A. Baker

Networks of coupled dynamical systems provide a powerful way to model systems with enormously complex dynamics, such as the human brain. Control of synchronization in such networked systems has far reaching applications in many domains,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-03-21 Julien Gout , Markus Quade , Kamran Shafi , Robert K. Niven , Markus Abel

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

Atomistic simulations provide valuable insights into the physical processes governing material behavior. However, their applicability is fundamentally constrained by the limited time scales accessible to brute-force simulations. This…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Michael Kim , Wei Cai

This paper formed part of a preliminary research report for a risk consultancy and academic research. Stochastic Programming models provide a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. In these models the uncertainties are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 Sovan Mitra

Probing signal injection is a well-established technique to extract additional information from a weakly (or non) observable dynamical system. Using averaging theory, a framework to analyse such schemes for general nonlinear systems has…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Bowen Yi , Romeo Ortega , Houria Siguerdidjane , Juan E. Machado , Weidong Zhang